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Home › Austria › Bundesliga › TSV Hartberg — Austria Lustenau

Prediction: TSV Hartberg vs Austria Lustenau, October 11

Austria   /   Bundesliga Value pick inside
TSV Hartberg
TSV Hartberg
Home · last 5 L W W D D
Kick-off
Sun 11 Oct · 12:30
—:—
Pre-match · scheduled
Austria Lustenau
Austria Lustenau
W D L L W Away · last 5
Profertil Arena · Hartberg Referee Markus Greinecker

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · HAR
53%
Best 2.11
Draw
25%
Best 3.60
Away Win · LUS
22%
Best 3.40

Model verdict

Model leans toward Under 2.5 goals — 55% probability.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 53% TSV Hartberg win
Over/Under 2.5 55% Under 2.5
BTTS 51% No
Double Chance 78% 1X
  • 1X2 TSV Hartberg win 53%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 55%
  • BTTS No 51%
  • Double Chance 1X 78%
Open betting analysis

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
TSV Hartberg
W/D/L 2-2-1
Goals (for / against) 10 / 10
Avg goals / match 4.0
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 0/5
Both teams scored 4/5
Over 2.5 4/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-1-1
Away (W-D-L) 1-1-0
xG (for / against) 1.64 / 1.56
Austria Lustenau
W/D/L 2-1-2
Goals (for / against) 6 / 8
Avg goals / match 2.8
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 3/5
Home (W-D-L) 2-0-1
Away (W-D-L) 0-1-1
xG (for / against) 1.50 / 1.73

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
1.43
Goals Scored
1.14
1.86
Goals Conceded
1.57
0.84
Expected Goals (xG)
0.84
3.29
Shots on Target
4
3.43
Corners
5.57
40.57
Possession (%)
42.14
105.44
Efficiency index
95.43
95.71
Adjusted index
83.11
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
50
OFF · home
42
33
DEF · home
42
50
OFF · away
8
25
DEF · away
67
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

Scenario insights

①
TSV Hartberg wins when scoring first
—
①
Austria Lustenau wins when scoring first
—
⚽
TSV Hartberg BTTS rate · last 10
60%
⚽
Austria Lustenau BTTS rate · last 7
71%
↑
TSV Hartberg Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
↑
Austria Lustenau Over 2.5 · last 7
57%
↩
TSV Hartberg comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
Austria Lustenau comeback rate · last 7
0%

Goal timing

TSV Hartberg · last 3 at home

0–15 0%
16–30 33%
31–45 0%
46–60 33%
61–75 0%
76–90 33%
Second-half-heavy — most goals come after the break.

Top scorers

C. Hoffmann
HAR · Attacker
2 G · 0.45 g/90
A. Radulović
HAR · Attacker
2 G
D. Weixelbraun
LUS · Midfielder
4 G · 0.63 g/90
A. Verinac
LUS · Attacker
3 G · 0.60 g/90