Match Antwerp vs Standard Liege May 3, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.90 — +9.6% better than the market.

Antwerp holds a slight quality edge and benefits from a home momentum with recent wins boosting confidence. Their defensive solidity contrasts with Standard Liege's less potent attack, suggesting a tactical battle where Antwerp's pressing and compact block could limit chances. The form gap favors Antwerp, though Standard Liege's resilience and set-piece threat keep the contest tight. Expect a measured pace with under 2.5 goals likely given both sides' defensive discipline.

Home defensive strength vs away attack
Recent form favors Antwerp
Moderate tempo with tactical caution

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.90 ✗ Lost

AI 58% Implied 53% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

ANT 3-4-2-1 · STA 3-4-2-1

ANT · 3-4-2-1 3-4-2-1 · STA

7 Kerk

📊 Statistics

ANT 0 – 5 STA

64%

Possession (%)

36%

1.41

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.92

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

87%

Pass Accuracy (%)

77%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Standard Liege won 5–0 away at Antwerp. At half-time it was 0–3.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 64% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 87% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.92 to 1.41. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 11, 8 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 3. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves. In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 5 from 2.92 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +0.89 units (Brier 0.319).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.90	—	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.98	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.00	—	54%	Cashed	+1.00	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.80	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.83	—	45%	Cashed	+0.83	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.92	—	42%	Cashed	+0.92	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.76	—	20%	Cashed	+1.76	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.50	—	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.27	—	80%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.46	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	11.00	—	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.33	—	78%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	—	89%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Draw	3.62	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.28	—	67%	Cashed	+0.28	Cashed
Away Win	3.80	—	20%	Cashed	+2.80	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.25	—	22%	Cashed	+2.25	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+0.89u	+5% ROI