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Home › Belgium › Jupiler Pro League › Standard Liege — Charleroi

Prediction: Standard Liege vs Charleroi, October 11

Belgium   /   Jupiler Pro League Value pick inside
Standard Liege
Standard Liege
Home · last 5 W W W L L
Kick-off
Sun 11 Oct · 11:30
—:—
Pre-match · scheduled
Charleroi
Charleroi
W W L W W Away · last 5

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · STA
25%
Best 2.91
Draw
25%
Best 3.57
Away Win · CHA
49%
Best 2.36

Model verdict

Model leans toward both teams to score — 58% probability.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 49% Charleroi win
Over/Under 2.5 54% Over 2.5
BTTS 58% Yes
Double Chance 75% X2
  • 1X2 Charleroi win 49%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 54%
  • BTTS Yes 58%
  • Double Chance X2 75%
Open betting analysis

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Standard Liege
W/D/L 3-0-2
Goals (for / against) 8 / 7
Avg goals / match 3.0
Scored in 5/5
Clean sheets 2/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 3/5
Home (W-D-L) 2-0-0
Away (W-D-L) 1-0-2
xG (for / against) 1.26 / 1.48
Charleroi
W/D/L 4-0-1
Goals (for / against) 11 / 6
Avg goals / match 3.4
Scored in 5/5
Clean sheets 2/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 3/5
Home (W-D-L) 2-0-1
Away (W-D-L) 2-0-0
xG (for / against) 1.57 / 0.72

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
1.86
Goals Scored
2.14
1.71
Goals Conceded
1
0.97
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
5.29
Shots on Target
5.86
6.14
Corners
5.29
53.29
Possession (%)
57.14
101.63
Efficiency index
102.79
116.89
Adjusted index
140.67
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
50
OFF · home
89
67
DEF · home
39
67
OFF · away
56
6
DEF · away
100
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

Scenario insights

①
Standard Liege wins when scoring first
—
①
Charleroi wins when scoring first
—
⚽
Standard Liege BTTS rate · last 10
60%
⚽
Charleroi BTTS rate · last 10
50%
↑
Standard Liege Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
↑
Charleroi Over 2.5 · last 10
40%
↩
Standard Liege comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
Charleroi comeback rate · last 10
0%

Goal timing

Standard Liege · last 5 at home

0–15 20%
16–30 0%
31–45 20%
46–60 40%
61–75 20%
76–90 0%

Charleroi · last 4 away

0–15 17%
16–30 17%
31–45 17%
46–60 17%
61–75 0%
76–90 33%
Balanced — goals spread evenly across the match.

Top scorers

D. Eckert Ayensa
STA · Attacker
4 G · 0.77 g/90
A. Abid
STA · Midfielder
3 G · 0.43 g/90
F. Situmona Mbemba
CHA · Attacker
3 G · 0.87 g/90
A. Scheidler
CHA · Attacker
3 G · 0.58 g/90