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Home Germany Germany Bundesliga Bayer Leverkusen — Werder Bremen

Match Bayer Leverkusen vs Werder Bremen January 24, 2026 — Result and Stats

Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
Home · last 5 L W W L D
Kick-off
Sat 24 Jan · 14:30
1:0
Full-time
Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen
W D L L L Away · last 5
BayArena · Leverkusen Referee Tobias Reichel, Germany
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 65% · book 1.66
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 44% · book 2.50
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 62% · book 1.72
Total goals
1
1 · 0
xG (open play)
2.56 – 0.70
Δ +1.86
Possession
50% – 50%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Bayer Leverkusen holds a clear quality edge and home momentum after recent wins, while Werder Bremen struggles with form and defensive solidity. Leverkusen's attacking threat is likely to test Bremen's backline, especially at BayArena where they enjoy a mild home advantage. The match hints at a moderate pace with chances for both sides, but Leverkusen's sharper offense and Bremen's defensive lapses could tilt the balance.

  • Leverkusen's stronger attack vs Bremen's shaky defense
  • Home crowd support boosting Leverkusen's confidence
  • Recent form favors Leverkusen's momentum

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

BAY 3-4-2-1 · WER 3-5-2
Subs used · BAY
57' Tillman ↑ · Poku
57' Fernandez ↑ · Lucas
72' Arthur ↑ · Maza
72' Palacios ↑ · Garcia
Subs used · WER
15' Malatini ↑ · Pieper
46' Deman ↑ · Schmidt
60' Milosevic ↑ · Grull
79' Topp ↑ · Sugawara

📊 Statistics

BAY 10 WER
50%
Possession (%)
50%
2.56
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.70
13
Total Shots
17
4
Shots on Target
3
6
Shots off Target
7
7
Shots Inside Box
10
5
Corner Kicks
5
1
Offsides
1
6
Fouls
9
86%
Pass Accuracy (%)
85%
2
Yellow Cards
3
3
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

14 · 1 – 0
15'
J. Malatini ↓ · A. Pieper ↑
Substitution 1
Lucas
Assist · I. Maza · 1–0
37'
Half-time · 1 – 0
46'
O. Deman ↓ · I. Schmidt ↑
Substitution 2
M. Tillman ↓ · E. Poku ↑
Substitution 1
57'
E. Fernandez ↓ · Lucas ↑
Substitution 2
57'
60'
J. Milosevic ↓ · M. Grull ↑
Substitution 3
Arthur ↓ · I. Maza ↑
Substitution 3
72'
E. Palacios ↓ · A. Garcia ↑
Substitution 4
72'
Jonas Hofmann
Yellow Card
78'
78'
Marco Friedl
Yellow Card
79'
K. Topp ↓ · Y. Sugawara ↑
Substitution 4
Loïc Badé
Yellow Card
87'
88'
Julián Malatini
Yellow Card
90+6'
Olivier Deman
Yellow Card
Full-time · 1 – 0

Match recap

Bayer Leverkusen beat Werder Bremen 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.56 to 0.70. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 13, 3 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Lucas (37').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +1.02 units (Brier 0.202).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 1.66 65% Cashed +0.66 Cashed
BTTS No 2.50 44% Cashed +1.50 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.72 62% Cashed +0.72 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.63 40% Cashed +1.63 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.31 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.40 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 6.00 19% Cashed +5.00 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.20 86% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.52 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.58 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.28 65% Cashed +0.28 Cashed
Under 0.5 19.50 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.03 95% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Draw 4.57 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.17 81% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 5.25 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 3.97 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L +1.02u +6% ROI