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Prognosist
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⚽ Football 57 + Value 23 📈 Forecasts
Football World UEFA Europa League SC Braga — SC Freiburg
World   /   UEFA Europa League Value pick inside
SC Braga
SC Braga
Home · last 5 W D W W L
Kick-off
Thu 30 Apr · 19:00
2:1
Full-time
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
W W L W L Away · last 5
Referee A. Taylor
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 45% · book 2.56
Miss
AH Home -2
AH Home -2
AI 11% · book 9.60
Hit
Over 2.5 Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
AI 48% · book 2.27
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
2.37 – 1.11
Δ +1.26
Possession
59% – 41%
AI accuracy
9 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 2.56 — +15.0% better than the market.

SC Braga vs SC Freiburg looks like a strong home-side setup despite Freiburg arriving in solid recent form. Braga carry the better all-round football profile here, especially in how they control matches, create sustained pressure and turn home territory into chances. Freiburg are still dangerous enough to keep this competitive, but the visitors look more vulnerable when they have to defend long spells and absorb repeated attacks.

The most likely match script is a lively game with chances for both teams, yet one where Braga hold the stronger hand over the full ninety minutes. Freiburg can threaten in transition and should have moments, but the home side appear better equipped to control the key phases and take over if the game opens up. That makes Braga slightly more appealing in the result markets, while the totals sit in a range where two or three goals feels more likely than a completely closed contest.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Home Win
Home Win @ 2.56 ✓ Cashed
AI 45% Implied 39% +1.56u
+156%
ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

BRA 21 FRE
59%
Possession (%)
41%
2.37
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.11
13
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Target
2
5
Shots off Target
5
11
Shots Inside Box
5
3
Corner Kicks
1
2
Offsides
2
12
Fouls
14
86%
Pass Accuracy (%)
81%
2
Yellow Cards
3
1
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 9 W · 8 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 2.56 45% Cashed +1.56 Cashed
AH Home -2 9.60 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 Goals 2.27 48% Cashed +1.27 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.87 56% Cashed +0.87 Cashed
Draw 3.13 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.27 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.75 45% Cashed +0.75 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.25 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.39 73% Cashed +0.39 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.57 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home +1 1.13 82% Cashed +0.13 Cashed
AH Home -1 3.90 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 Goals 1.25 71% Cashed +0.25 Cashed
Under 2.5 Goals 1.74 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.95 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 Goals 1.36 72% Cashed +0.36 Cashed
Over 0.5 Goals 1.08 90% Cashed +0.08 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 9 W · 8 L −2.34u −14% ROI
Best bet of the night · Home Win
BRA – FRE @ 2.56
+15.0%
Edge
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