Match Genk vs Standard Liege April 25, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Genk enters this clash with a clear quality edge and home momentum, showing resilience in recent matches. Their offensive strength against Standard's defense suggests they can create chances, while their solid defensive record at Cegeka Arena adds a pressing edge. Standard Liege's form is less consistent, and they face a tough task breaking down a compact home block.

Genk's home advantage and attacking threat
Standard's defensive challenges
Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

GEN 4-2-3-1 · STA 3-4-2-1

GEN · 4-2-3-1 3-4-2-1 · STA

23 Bibout

📊 Statistics

GEN 1 – 1 STA

61%

Possession (%)

39%

2.15

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.64

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

86%

Pass Accuracy (%)

77%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Genk and Standard Liege drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 61% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 86% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.15 to 0.64. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 24 shots to 9, 6 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 13 to 2. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.45 units (Brier 0.184).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	1.65	—	63%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.95	—	52%	Cashed	+0.95	Cashed
BTTS No	1.91	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.84	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.80	—	49%	Cashed	+0.80	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.20	—	37%	Cashed	+1.20	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.17	—	86%	Cashed	+0.17	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.10	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.24	—	63%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.65	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.33	—	73%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.05	—	91%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.25	—	73%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
Under 0.5	9.75	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.80	—	23%	Cashed	+2.80	Cashed
Away Win	5.00	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	3.65	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.45u	−14% ROI