Match OH Leuven vs Charleroi April 25, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

OH Leuven vs Charleroi Preview

Charleroi enters with a clear quality edge and a stronger attack, while OH Leuven struggles defensively at home. The home side’s recent form shows signs of resilience, but Charleroi’s slightly better momentum and pressing edge could tilt the balance. Expect a tactical battle with limited goals, as both teams have sturdy defenses and the odds suggest a moderate pace.

Charleroi’s offensive threat challenges Leuven’s defense
Home side’s compact block may limit scoring chances
Recent form favors Charleroi’s consistency

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

LEU 3-4-3 · CHA 4-2-3-1

LEU · 3-4-3 4-2-3-1 · CHA

10 Maziz

📊 Statistics

LEU 0 – 2 CHA

57%

Possession (%)

43%

0.19

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.27

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

87%

Pass Accuracy (%)

83%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Charleroi won 2–0 away at OH Leuven. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 57% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.27 to 0.19. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 11 shots to 4, 4 on target.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.75 units (Brier 0.137).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	2.36	—	49%	Cashed	+1.36	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.98	—	53%	Cashed	+0.98	Cashed
BTTS No	2.15	—	48%	Cashed	+1.15	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.83	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.65	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.70	—	49%	Cashed	+0.70	Cashed
AH Home 0	2.11	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.95	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.38	—	75%	Cashed	+0.38	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.55	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.95	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.87	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.38	—	74%	Cashed	+0.38	Cashed
Under 0.5	10.15	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	—	91%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.25	—	72%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
Draw	3.40	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.75u	−22% ROI