Union St. Gilloise vs OH Leuven 1:1: Match Review & Stats
Kick-off
Sun 11 Oct · 14:00
1:1
Full-time
Stade Joseph Marien · Brussels
Referee Nathan Verboomen, Belgium
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 58% · book 1.91
✗
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 45% · book 2.70
✓
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 66% · book 1.70
✓
xG (open play)
1.06 – 1.19
Δ −0.13
AI accuracy
6 / 11
picks cashed
Model verdict
Post-match · 90 sec read
AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.70 — +12.5% better than the market.
P
Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5
Under 3.5 @ 1.70
✓ Cashed
AI 66%
Implied 59%
+0.70u
⛀ Lineups
GIL 3-1-4-2 · LEU 3-4-3
📊 Statistics
GIL 1
– 1 LEU
1.06
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
1.19
80%
Pass Accuracy (%)
70%
Match recap
Union St. Gilloise and OH Leuven drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–1.
In possession, the hosts ran the game with 62% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 80% of their passes. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 8 to 3. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.
Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 6 landed and 5 missed, for a net +6.33 units (Brier 0.309).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
11 · 6 W · 5 L
| Market |
Odds |
Closed |
AI |
Result |
P/L · 1u |
|
| BTTS No |
1.91 |
— |
58% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 2.5 |
2.70 |
— |
45% |
Cashed |
+1.70 |
Cashed
|
| Under 3.5 |
1.70 |
— |
66% |
Cashed |
+0.70 |
Cashed
|
| BTTS Yes |
1.91 |
— |
42% |
Cashed |
+0.91 |
Cashed
|
| Over 3.5 |
2.18 |
— |
34% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Double Chance 1X |
1.07 |
— |
93% |
Cashed |
+0.07 |
Cashed
|
| Home Win |
1.26 |
— |
77% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 2.5 |
1.44 |
— |
55% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Draw |
6.13 |
— |
17% |
Cashed |
+5.13 |
Cashed
|
| Double Chance X2 |
3.82 |
— |
23% |
Cashed |
+2.82 |
Cashed
|
| Away Win |
10.70 |
— |
7% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Total · 11 markets @ 1u each |
— |
— |
— |
6 W · 5 L |
+6.33u |
+58% ROI |
