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Home › Austria › Bundesliga › Sturm Graz — TSV Hartberg

Sturm Graz vs TSV Hartberg 0:0: Match Review & Stats

Austria   /   Bundesliga Value pick inside
Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz
Home · last 5 D D D W W
Kick-off
Sun 12 Apr · 12:30
0:0
Full-time
TSV Hartberg
TSV Hartberg
W L L L W Away · last 5
Stadion Graz-Liebenau · Graz Referee I. Simsek
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 62% · book 1.86 ✓
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 59% · book 1.95 ✓
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 61% · book 1.80 ✗
Total goals
0
0 · 0
xG (open play)
1.35 – 0.76
Δ +0.59
Possession
61% – 39%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 1.80 — +9.6% better than the market.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Home Win
Home Win @ 1.80 ✗ Lost
AI 61% Implied 56% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

STU 0 – 0 HAR
61%
Possession (%)
39%
1.35
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.76
24
Total Shots
17
1
Shots on Target
1
12
Shots off Target
7
16
Shots Inside Box
8
5
Corner Kicks
8
1
Offsides
0
10
Fouls
10
81%
Pass Accuracy (%)
67%
2
Yellow Cards
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match recap

Sturm Graz and TSV Hartberg drew 0–0. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 61% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 81% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.35 to 0.76. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 24 shots to 17, 1 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 8 to 5. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +8.62 units (Brier 0.277).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 1.86 — 62% Cashed +0.86 Cashed
BTTS No 1.95 — 59% Cashed +0.95 Cashed
Home Win 1.80 — 61% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.07 — 39% Cashed +1.07 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.95 — 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.03 — 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.45 — 38% Cashed +2.45 Cashed
Under 0.5 10.00 — 14% Cashed +9.00 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.31 — 81% Cashed +0.31 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.23 — 85% Cashed +0.23 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.30 — 61% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.07 — 86% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.75 — 24% Cashed +2.75 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.33 — 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 4.83 — 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.50 — 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 3.64 — 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L +8.62u +51% ROI
Value pick of the night · Home Win
STU – HAR @ 1.80
+9.6%
Edge
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