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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › Hamburger SV — Bayer Leverkusen

Match Hamburger SV vs Bayer Leverkusen March 4, 2026 — Result and Stats

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
Home · last 5 L L W W D
Kick-off
Wed 04 Mar · 19:30
0:1
Full-time
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
L W W L D Away · last 5
Volksparkstadion · Hamburg Referee Sören Storks, Germany
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 55% · book 2.11 ✓
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 42% · book 2.47 ✓
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 43% · book 2.32 ✓
Total goals
1
0 · 1
xG (open play)
1.33 – 1.93
Δ −0.60
Possession
37% – 63%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Bayer Leverkusen enters this clash with a clear quality edge and a stronger attack, likely to challenge Hamburger SV's defense at the Volksparkstadion. Despite HSV's recent home momentum and slightly better form, Leverkusen's offensive firepower and overall team strength suggest they can control the game tempo and create chances.

  • Leverkusen's superior attacking threat against HSV's defense
  • Home side's resilience and recent positive results
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring tactical discipline over frantic pressing

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

HAM 3-4-2-1 · BAY 3-4-2-1
HAM · 3-4-2-1 3-4-2-1 · BAY 1 Fernandes 17 Omari 44 Vušković 8 Elfadli 18 Jatta 21 Remberg 20 Vieira 16 Gocholeishvili 11 Königsdörffer 14 Philippe 19 Downs 28 Blaswich 4 Quansah 8 Andrich 12 Tapsoba 42 Culbreath 25 Palacios 24 García 20 Grimaldo 11 Terrier 30 Maza 35 Kofane ⚽
Subs used · HAM
29' Mikelbrencis ↑ · Jatta ↓
65' Torunarigha ↑ · Omari ↓
65' Stange ↑ · Philippe ↓
65' Dompe ↑ · Downs ↓
81' S. Lokonga ↑ · Konigsdorffer ↓
Subs used · BAY
71' Tillman ↑ · Terrier ↓
80' Poku ↑ · Culbreath ↓
90' Fernandez ↑ · Maza ↓

📊 Statistics

HAM 0 – 1 BAY
37%
Possession (%)
63%
1.33
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.93
10
Total Shots
14
3
Shots on Target
4
4
Shots off Target
8
8
Shots Inside Box
11
2
Corner Kicks
7
0
Offsides
2
12
Fouls
11
75%
Pass Accuracy (%)
84%
0
Yellow Cards
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
3

⏱ Match events

11 · 0 – 1
W. Mikelbrencis ↓ · B. Jatta ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
29'
40'
▮
Aleix García
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 0
J. Torunarigha ↓ · W. Omari ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
65'
O. Stange ↓ · R. Philippe ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
65'
J. Dompe ↓ · D. Downs ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
65'
71'
⇄
M. Tillman ↓ · M. Terrier ↑
Substitution 1
73'
⚽
C. Kofane
Assist · I. Maza · 0–1
80'
⇄
E. Poku ↓ · M. Culbreath ↑
Substitution 2
A. S. Lokonga ↓ · R. Konigsdorffer ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
81'
90'
⇄
E. Fernandez ↓ · I. Maza ↑
Substitution 3
90+5'
▮
Exequiel Palacios
Yellow Card
Full-time · 0 – 1

Match recap

Bayer Leverkusen won 1–0 away at Hamburger SV. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 63% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 84% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.93 to 1.33. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 14 shots to 10, 4 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 7 to 2.

On the scoresheet: C. Kofane (73').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +0.08 units (Brier 0.215).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.11 — 55% Cashed +1.11 Cashed
BTTS No 2.47 — 42% Cashed +1.47 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.32 — 43% Cashed +1.32 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.71 — 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.63 — 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.85 — 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 2.70 — 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.34 — 80% Cashed +0.34 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.52 — 64% Cashed +0.52 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.58 — 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.53 — 55% Cashed +0.53 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.04 — 94% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.22 — 80% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.75 — 20% Cashed +3.75 Cashed
Draw 3.80 — 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 16.00 — 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 3.60 — 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L +0.08u +0% ROI