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Home Switzerland Super League FC Lugano — FC Thun

Predictions FC Lugano vs FC Thun April 4, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

FC Lugano
FC Lugano
Home · last 5 W W L D W
Kick-off
Sat 04 Apr · 16:00
1:0
Full-time
FC Thun
FC Thun
L L L L D Away · last 5
Stadio di Cornaredo · Lugano Referee J. von Mandach
Home Win · LUG
27%
Best 2.45
Draw
24%
Best 3.56
Away Win · THU
48%
Best 2.62
Value pick
BTTS No
@ 2.50
Fair odds
2.31
book 2.50 · +8.1% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 43% · EV +8.1%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Best in group
Probability 48.4%
Odds 2.44
Show model details
Implied probability 41%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win
Probability 27.4%
Odds 2.77
Show model details
Implied probability 36.1%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 24.3%
Odds 3.80
Show model details
Implied probability 26.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 44.9%
Odds 2.35
Show model details
Implied probability 42.6%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 55.1%
Odds 1.61
Show model details
Implied probability 62.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 33.5%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 22.1%
Odds 4.84
Show model details
Implied probability 20.7%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 66.5%
Odds 1.55
Show model details
Implied probability 64.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 6.6%
Odds 15.00
Show model details
Implied probability 6.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.4%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 77.9%
Odds 1.19
Show model details
Implied probability 84%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 43.3%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 56.7%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 48.4%
Odds 1.82
Show model details
Implied probability 55%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0
Probability 27.4%
Odds 2.08
Show model details
Implied probability 48.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 51.6%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 72.7%
Odds 1.47
Show model details
Implied probability 68%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.