Match FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Heidenheim January 13, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

FSV Mainz 05 hosts 1. FC Heidenheim in a Bundesliga clash where home momentum is lacking, given Mainz's recent struggles and defensive vulnerabilities. Despite a slight quality edge for Mainz, Heidenheim's sharper recent form and offensive edge suggest they could press effectively. Expect a cautious tempo with a compact block from Mainz trying to contain Heidenheim's forward runs.

Mainz's defensive frailty vs Heidenheim's attacking intent
Heidenheim's better recent form could unsettle the hosts
Moderate pace likely, favoring tactical discipline over open play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

MAI 3-5-2 · HEI 4-3-1-2

MAI · 3-5-2 4-3-1-2 · HEI

20 Tietz

Subs used · MAI

34'

Potulski ↑ ·

Veratschnig ↓

59'

Nebel ↑ ·

Sieb ↓

90'

Maloney ↑ ·

Amiri ↓

90'

Nordin ↑ ·

Tietz ↓

Subs used · HEI

46'

Conteh ↑ ·

Schoppner ↓

58'

Beck ↑ ·

Pieringer ↓

58'

Schimmer ↑ ·

Kaufmann ↓

75'

Honsak ↑ ·

Niehues ↓

81'

Wagner ↑ ·

Fohrenbach ↓

📊 Statistics

MAI 2 – 1 HEI

41%

Possession (%)

59%

1.41

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.41

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

73%

Pass Accuracy (%)

76%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

16 · 2 – 1

S. Widmer

Assist · Lee Jae-Sung · 1–0

⚽

30'

K. Potulski ↓ · N. Veratschnig ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

34'

Dominik Kohr

Yellow Card

▮

45'

Half-time · 1 – 0

46'

⇄

S. Conteh ↓ · J. Schoppner ↑

Substitution 1

N. Amiri

Assist · P. Tietz · 2–0

⚽

49'

54'

▮

Marvin Pieringer

Yellow Card

58'

⇄

A. Beck ↓ · M. Pieringer ↑

Substitution 2

58'

⇄

S. Schimmer ↓ · M. Kaufmann ↑

Substitution 3

P. Nebel ↓ · A. Sieb ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

59'

60'

⚽

S. Schimmer

2–1

75'

⇄

M. Honsak ↓ · J. Niehues ↑

Substitution 4

77'

▮

Benedikt Gimber

Yellow Card

81'

⇄

Y. Wagner ↓ · J. Fohrenbach ↑

Substitution 5

L. Maloney ↓ · N. Amiri ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

90'

A. Nordin ↓ · P. Tietz ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

90'

Silvan Widmer

Yellow Card

▮

90+4'

Full-time · 2 – 1

Match recap

FSV Mainz 05 beat 1. FC Heidenheim 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 59% of the ball. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 4 to 1. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: S. Widmer (30'), N. Amiri (49'), S. Schimmer (60').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.15 units (Brier 0.126).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.92	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.70	—	58%	Cashed	+0.70	Cashed
BTTS No	1.88	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	2.32	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.98	—	47%	Cashed	+0.98	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.02	—	45%	Cashed	+1.02	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.62	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	5.94	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.17	—	82%	Cashed	+0.17	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.24	—	58%	Cashed	+0.24	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.34	—	76%	Cashed	+0.34	Cashed
Under 0.5	11.00	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.07	—	91%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.33	—	71%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
Draw	3.90	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.55	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	4.33	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−5.15u	−30% ROI

Match FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Heidenheim January 13, 2026 — Result and Stats

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled