P
Prognosist
P
Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › FSV Mainz 05 — 1. FC Heidenheim

Predictions by Market: FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Heidenheim

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
Home · last 5 D L W L W
Kick-off
Tue 13 Jan · 19:30
2:1
Full-time
1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Heidenheim
L W D W L Away · last 5
MEWA Arena · Mainz Referee Sven Jablonski, Germany

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · MAI
58%
Best 1.78
Draw
24%
Best 3.80
Away Win · HEI
18%
Best 4.55
Value pick
Away Win
@ 5.94
Fair odds
5.57
book 5.94 · +6.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 18% · EV +6.7%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (58%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 58.3%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Away Win
Probability 18%
Odds 5.94
Show model details
Implied probability 16.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 23.8%
Odds 3.90
Show model details
Implied probability 25.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 54.8%
Odds 1.92
Show model details
Implied probability 52.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 45.2%
Odds 2.02
Show model details
Implied probability 49.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 29.4%
Odds 3.62
Show model details
Implied probability 27.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 75.7%
Odds 1.34
Show model details
Implied probability 74.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 9.2%
Odds 11.00
Show model details
Implied probability 9.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 90.8%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 70.7%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 24.3%
Odds 3.55
Show model details
Implied probability 28.2%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 52.6%
Odds 1.88
Show model details
Implied probability 53.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 47.4%
Odds 1.98
Show model details
Implied probability 50.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 58.3%
Odds 1.24
Show model details
Implied probability 80.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 18%
Odds 4.33
Show model details
Implied probability 23.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 41.7%
Odds 2.32
Show model details
Implied probability 43.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 82%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
MAI – HEI @ 5.94
+6.7%
Edge
Forecast →