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Home World UEFA Europa League Lyon — Celta Vigo

Match Lyon vs Celta Vigo March 19, 2026 — Result and Stats

Lyon
Lyon
Home · last 5 W W W D L
Kick-off
Thu 19 Mar · 17:45
0:2
Full-time
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo
W D W L L Away · last 5
Referee Irfan Peljto, Bosnia & Herzegovina
Miss
Under 1.5
Under 1.5
AI 34% · book 3.50
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 56% · book 1.82
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 54% · book 1.98
Total goals
2
0 · 2
xG (open play)
0.24 – 1.54
Δ −1.30
Possession
35% – 65%
AI accuracy
10 / 16
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Lyon vs Celta Vigo points to a tight and tactical game rather than an open shootout. Lyon carry the stronger home profile, defend their box with more authority and usually control matches better on their own ground, so they deserve to start as slight favourites. Celta Vigo are competitive enough to stay in the contest, but the overall shape of this matchup suggests fewer clear chances than the market often expects. The most likely scenario is a disciplined home performance, a close scoreline and a match that stays under control for long spells.

From a betting angle, the strongest lean is toward a lower-scoring pattern, with Lyon having the better chance to edge it without the game turning chaotic. That makes the home side slightly more attractive in the result market, while unders and the more cautious goal-based options look more reliable than aggressive handicap plays.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

📊 Statistics

LYO 02 CEL
35%
Possession (%)
65%
0.24
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.54
4
Total Shots
14
1
Shots on Target
8
3
Shots off Target
4
2
Shots Inside Box
9
1
Corner Kicks
6
3
Offsides
3
11
Fouls
20
82%
Pass Accuracy (%)
90%
2
Yellow Cards
5
6
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match recap

Celta Vigo won 2–0 away at Lyon. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 65% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 90% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.54 to 0.24. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 14 shots to 4, 8 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 6 to 1. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 16 graded markets, 10 landed and 6 missed, for a net +2.13 units (Brier 0.206).

Bet recap · markets settled

16 · 10 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 1.5 3.50 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.82 56% Cashed +0.82 Cashed
BTTS No 1.98 54% Cashed +0.98 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.32 79% Cashed +0.32 Cashed
Away Win 4.07 25% Cashed +3.07 Cashed
Draw 3.50 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.85 54% Cashed +0.85 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.91 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.08 81% Cashed +0.08 Cashed
Away Team Total Over 0.5 1.91 46% Cashed +0.91 Cashed
AH Away +2 1.10 82% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.20 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.06 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.38 66% Cashed +0.38 Cashed
AH Away +1 1.62 54% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.28 75% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 16 markets @ 1u each 10 W · 6 L +2.13u +13% ROI