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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Germany Germany Bundesliga Union Berlin — FSV Mainz 05

Match Union Berlin vs FSV Mainz 05 January 10, 2026

Union Berlin
Union Berlin
Home · last 5 L L D W W
Kick-off
Sat 10 Jan · 14:30
2:2
Full-time
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
D L W L W Away · last 5
Stadion An der Alten Försterei · Berlin Referee Bastian Dankert, Germany
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 54% · book 2.22
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 53% · book 1.90
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 59% · book 1.73
Total goals
4
2 · 2
xG (open play)
2.23 – 1.10
Δ +1.13
Possession
56% – 44%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Union Berlin holds a clear quality edge and benefits from a solid home defensive setup, which should challenge Mainz's attack. Despite Mainz's decent offensive numbers, Union's home momentum and stronger form suggest they can control the pace and limit chances. Expect a tactical battle with Union's compact block and Mainz's pressing tested.

  • Home defensive solidity vs away attack
  • Union's recent form and home comfort
  • Moderate goal environment hints at a controlled tempo

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

UNI 3-4-2-1 · MAI 3-5-2
Subs used · UNI
65' Schafer ↑ · Kemlein
65' Ansah ↑ · Burcu
70' Trimmel ↑ · Haberer
70' Woo-Yeong ↑ · Burke
78' Ljubicic ↑ · Leite
Subs used · MAI
78' Nebel ↑ · Amiri
78' Sieb ↑ · Hollerbach
85' Maloney ↑ · Tietz

📊 Statistics

UNI 22 MAI
56%
Possession (%)
44%
2.23
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.10
16
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
6
8
Shots off Target
3
13
Shots Inside Box
8
2
Corner Kicks
1
0
Offsides
1
9
Fouls
8
74%
Pass Accuracy (%)
65%
2
Yellow Cards
0
4
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

14 · 2 – 2
Diogo Leite
Yellow Card
19'
30'
N. Amiri
Assist · Lee Jae-Sung · 0–1
Half-time · 0 – 1
Danilho Doekhi
Yellow Card
57'
A. Schafer ↓ · A. Kemlein ↑
Substitution 1
65'
I. Ansah ↓ · L. Burcu ↑
Substitution 2
65'
69'
B. Hollerbach
Assist · N. Veratschnig · 0–2
C. Trimmel ↓ · J. Haberer ↑
Substitution 3
70'
Jeong Woo-Yeong ↓ · O. Burke ↑
Substitution 4
70'
Jeong Woo-Yeong
Assist · D. Kohn · 1–2
77'
M. Ljubicic ↓ · D. Leite ↑
Substitution 5
78'
78'
P. Nebel ↓ · N. Amiri ↑
Substitution 1
78'
A. Sieb ↓ · B. Hollerbach ↑
Substitution 2
85'
L. Maloney ↓ · P. Tietz ↑
Substitution 3
M. Ljubicic
2–2
86'
Full-time · 2 – 2

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 2.22 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.90 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.73 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.28 41% Cashed +1.28 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.99 47% Cashed +0.99 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.75 46% Cashed +0.75 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.76 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.32 81% Cashed +0.32 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.20 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.42 68% Cashed +0.42 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.53 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 9.50 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.10 90% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.25 79% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.34 27% Cashed +2.34 Cashed
Over 3.5 4.20 21% Cashed +3.20 Cashed
Away Win 3.92 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L +0.40u +2% ROI