Match Celta Vigo vs Lyon March 12, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Celta Vigo vs Lyon looks like a competitive tie, but the away side carries the more convincing overall profile. Celta should be dangerous at home and their recent run is solid enough to keep this balanced for long stretches, yet Lyon arrive with sharper attacking flow, better recent output and a slightly stronger all-round platform. The most likely match script is a close game with both teams able to score, while the away side holds the clearer edge in the full-time result market.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

CEL 3-4-2-1 · LYO 4-2-3-1

CEL · 3-4-2-1 4-2-3-1 · LYO

7 Iglesias

📊 Statistics

CEL 1 – 1 LYO

29%

Possession (%)

71%

0.97

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.77

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

78%

Pass Accuracy (%)

93%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Celta Vigo and Lyon drew 1–1. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 71% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 93% of their passes. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 5, 6 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 7 to 0. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 13 graded markets, 8 landed and 5 missed, for a net +1.30 units (Brier 0.185).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

13 · 8 W · 5 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes	1.80	—	58%	Cashed	+0.80	Cashed
Away Win	3.60	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.60	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.80	—	70%	Cashed	+0.80	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.00	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.30	—	77%	Cashed	+0.30	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.10	—	93%	Cashed	+0.10	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.30	—	69%	Cashed	+0.30	Cashed
Draw	3.60	—	30%	Cashed	+2.60	Cashed
Home Win	2.20	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.10	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.00	—	46%	Cashed	+1.00	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.40	—	60%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
Total · 13 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 5 L	+1.30u	+10% ROI