Match VfB Stuttgart vs FC Porto March 12, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

VfB Stuttgart vs FC Porto shapes up as a high-level contest between two attack-minded sides, but the away team comes in with the stronger overall balance and a more convincing defensive platform. Stuttgart should still create chances at home and remain dangerous for long spells, yet Porto look better equipped to handle momentum swings and punish mistakes. The game profile points toward a competitive matchup with goals on both sides being realistic, while the away side holds the clearest edge in the full-time result market.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

STU 4-2-3-1 · POR 4-3-3

STU · 4-2-3-1 4-3-3 · POR

9 Demirović

📊 Statistics

STU 1 – 2 POR

60%

Possession (%)

40%

0.63

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.93

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

85%

Pass Accuracy (%)

75%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

FC Porto won 2–1 away at VfB Stuttgart. At half-time it was 1–2.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 60% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 85% of their passes. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 13 graded markets, 8 landed and 5 missed, for a net +2.50 units (Brier 0.149).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

13 · 8 W · 5 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2	1.80	—	69%	Cashed	+0.80	Cashed
Away Win	3.60	—	42%	Cashed	+2.60	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.60	—	56%	Cashed	+1.60	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.70	—	63%	Cashed	+0.70	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.90	—	57%	Cashed	+0.90	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.30	—	79%	Cashed	+0.30	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.10	—	94%	Cashed	+0.10	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.50	—	66%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
Draw	3.70	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.30	—	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.10	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.30	—	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.20	—	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 13 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 5 L	+2.50u	+19% ROI