Model verdict
Post-match · 90 sec read
Lineups
MAR 4-2-3-1 · POR 4-3-3
Statistics
MAR 1 – 2 POR42%
Possession (%)
58%
0.27
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
2.19
7
Total Shots
19
4
Shots on Target
9
1
Shots off Target
7
2
Shots Inside Box
15
2
Corner Kicks
6
0
Offsides
2
15
Fouls
15
1
Yellow Cards
2
7
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Match events
16 · 1 – 2Gábor Szalai
Assist · Maxime Dominguez · 1–0
16'
36'
▮
Alan Gonzalo Varela
Yellow Card
42'
⚽
Victor Froholdt
1–1
45'
⇄
Pablo Rosario ↓ · Alan Gonzalo Varela ↑
Substitution 1
Half-time · 1 – 1
54'
⇄
Gabri Veiga ↓ · Hwang In-Beom ↑
Substitution 2
55'
⇄
Borja Sainz ↓ · William Gomes ↑
Substitution 3
57'
▮
Eduardo Gabriel Aquino Cossa
Yellow Card
Simo Bouzaidi ↓ · Tomas Tavares ↑
Substitution 1
66'
Rodri Andrade ↓ · Maxime Dominguez ↑
Substitution 2
66'
66'
⇄
Samuel Aghehowa ↓ · André Silva ↑
Substitution 4
Mons Rogeani Bassouamina ↓ · Adrián Butzke ↑
Substitution 3
78'
Maurice Boakye ↓ · Martín Tejón ↑
Substitution 4
79'
79'
⇄
Oskar Pietuszewski ↓ · Eduardo Gabriel Aquino Cossa ↑
Substitution 5
84'
⚽
Oskar Pietuszewski
Assist · Jakub Kiwior · 1–2
Igor Julião
Yellow Card
87'
Samuel Bamba ↓ · Ibrahim Akitunde Alani ↑
Substitution 5
89'
Full-time · 1 – 2
Match recap
FC Porto won 2–1 away at Maritimo. At half-time it was 1–1.
In possession, the visitors ran the game with 58% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.19 to 0.27. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 7, 9 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 6 to 2. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.
On the scoresheet: Gábor Szalai (16'), Victor Froholdt (42'), Oskar Pietuszewski (84').
Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -6.00 units (Brier 0.095).
Bet recap · markets settled
17 · 8 W · 9 L| Market | Odds | Closed | AI | Result | P/L · 1u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 2.13 | 2.30 | 46% | Cashed | +1.13 | Cashed |
| Under 2.5 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 48% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Over 2.5 | 1.80 | 1.80 | 52% | Cashed | +0.80 | Cashed |
| BTTS No | 1.66 | 1.55 | 54% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Double Chance X2 | 1.06 | 1.05 | 92% | Cashed | +0.06 | Cashed |
| Away Win | 1.32 | 1.30 | 73% | Cashed | +0.32 | Cashed |
| Over 3.5 | 2.91 | 3.00 | 30% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| AH Away 0 | 1.09 | 1.06 | 73% | Cashed | +0.09 | Cashed |
| Over 0.5 | 1.04 | 1.04 | 93% | Cashed | +0.04 | Cashed |
| Under 1.5 | 3.90 | 3.75 | 24% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Draw | 5.00 | 5.49 | 19% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Under 3.5 | 1.35 | 1.36 | 70% | Cashed | +0.35 | Cashed |
| Over 1.5 | 1.21 | 1.22 | 76% | Cashed | +0.21 | Cashed |
| Under 0.5 | 12.50 | 12.05 | 7% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Double Chance 1X | 3.28 | 3.55 | 27% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Home Win | 9.00 | 10.53 | 8% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| AH Home 0 | 6.75 | 7.58 | 8% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Total · 17 markets @ 1u each | — | — | — | 8 W · 9 L | −6.00u | −35% ROI |