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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › SC Paderborn 07 — VfB Stuttgart

SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart 0:2: Match Review & Stats

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
SC Paderborn 07
SC Paderborn 07
Home · last 5 D L L W L
Kick-off
Sat 10 Oct · 13:30
0:2
Full-time
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart
L W L L W Away · last 5
Home Deluxe Arena · Paderborn Referee Felix Zwayer
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 45% · book 2.62 ✓
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 57% · book 2.05 ✓
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 64% · book 1.62 ✓
Total goals
2
0 · 2
xG (open play)
1.91 – 2.45
Δ −0.54
Possession
51% – 49%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 1.62 — +3.1% better than the market.

VfB Stuttgart enters this clash with a clear quality edge and a pressing advantage, despite SC Paderborn's home momentum. Stuttgart's sharper attack faces a vulnerable Paderborn defense, suggesting they can exploit gaps effectively. However, Paderborn's recent form shows signs of resilience, which might keep the game tight. Expect a moderately paced match with a tactical battle around midfield control and defensive organization.

  • Stuttgart's offensive edge against Paderborn's leaky defense
  • Home side's recent points per game advantage
  • Likely under 3.5 goals given cautious setups

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Away Win
Away Win @ 1.62 ✓ Cashed
AI 64% Implied 62% +0.62u
+62%
ROI on stake

Lineups

PAD 3-5-2 · STU 4-2-3-1
PAD · 3-5-2 4-2-3-1 · STU 15 Noll 21 ter Horst 25 Scheller 22 Hansen 17 Curda 28 Ulrich 5 Castañeda 40 Vidović 23 Obermair 18 Pieringer 30 Marino 41 Seimen 4 Vagnoman 24 Chabot ⚽ 3 Hendriks 7 Mittelstädt 16 Karazor 6 Stiller 18 Leweling 26 Undav 10 Führich ⚽ 9 Demirović
Subs used · PAD
70' Tigges ↑ · Marino ↓
70' Philippe ↑ · Pieringer ↓
80' Meier ↑ · Ulrich ↓
85' Götze ↑ · Hansen ↓
85' Sticker ↑ · Scheller ↓
Subs used · STU
72' Jeltsch ↑ · Chabot ↓
77' Pejčinović ↑ · Demirović ↓
77' Khannouss ↑ · Leweling ↓
85' Prömel ↑ · Undav ↓
85' Sauer ↑ · Führich ↓

Statistics

PAD 0 – 2 STU
51%
Possession (%)
49%
1.91
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.45
24
Total Shots
18
6
Shots on Target
8
10
Shots off Target
5
16
Shots Inside Box
16
7
Corner Kicks
5
1
Offsides
1
10
Fouls
11
1
Yellow Cards
0
5
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

13 · 0 – 2
25'
⚽
Jeffrey Julian Gaston Chabot
Assist · Angelo Stiller · 0–1
Marvin Pieringer
Yellow Card
▮
45'
Half-time · 0 – 1
Steffen Tigges ↓ · Stefano Marino ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
70'
Rayan Philippe ↓ · Marvin Pieringer ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
70'
72'
⇄
Finn Jeltsch ↓ · Jeffrey Julian Gaston Chabot ↑
Substitution 1
77'
⇄
Dženan Pejčinović ↓ · Ermedin Demirović ↑
Substitution 2
77'
⇄
Bilal El Khannouss ↓ · Jamie Leweling ↑
Substitution 3
Oliver Batista Meier ↓ · Laurin Ulrich ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
80'
83'
⚽
Chris Führich
Assist · Angelo Stiller · 0–2
Felix Götze ↓ · Mattes Hansen ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
85'
Jonah Sticker ↓ · Tjark Scheller ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
85'
85'
⇄
Grischa Prömel ↓ · Deniz Undav ↑
Substitution 4
85'
⇄
Leo Sauer ↓ · Chris Führich ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 0 – 2

Match recap

VfB Stuttgart won 2–0 away at SC Paderborn 07. At half-time it was 0–1.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.45 to 1.91. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 24 shots to 18, 6 on target.

On the scoresheet: Jeffrey Julian Gaston Chabot (25'), Chris Führich (83').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.72 units (Brier 0.143).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 2.62 2.94 45% Cashed +1.62 Cashed
Under 3.5 2.05 — 57% Cashed +1.05 Cashed
Away Win 1.62 1.57 64% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 2.25 2.35 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 1.80 — 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 20.50 26.32 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 3.40 — 38% Cashed +2.40 Cashed
Under 1.5 6.00 8.00 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.20 1.18 85% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.28 1.25 64% Cashed +0.28 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.44 1.36 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 4.33 4.63 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.02 1.01 86% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.09 1.07 75% Cashed +0.09 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.29 — 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 4.50 4.88 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 3.51 3.68 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −2.72u −16% ROI
Value pick of the night · Away Win
PAD – STU @ 1.62
+3.1%
Edge
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