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Home World UEFA Europa League Nottingham Forest — Fenerbahçe

Match Nottingham Forest vs Fenerbahçe February 26, 2026 — Result and Stats

Europe   /   UEFA Europa League Value pick inside
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
Home · last 5 W D W W L
Kick-off
Thu 26 Feb · 20:00
1:2
Full-time
Fenerbahçe
Fenerbahçe
W L D L W Away · last 5
Referee Maurizio Mariani, Italy
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 44% · book 1.80
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 22% · book 4.60
Hit
AH Away 0
AH Away 0
AI 53% · book 3.30
Total goals
3
1 · 2
xG (open play)
1.18 – 1.76
Δ −0.58
Possession
54% – 46%
AI accuracy
8 / 13
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.40 — +10.0% better than the market.

Nottingham Forest vs Fenerbahce prediction
This matchup points toward the visitors having the clearer edge in overall level and recent momentum. Forest look like a side that can struggle to create clean chances against well-organised opposition, while Fenerbahce are better equipped to control phases of play and manage the game away from home. The most natural read is Fenerbahce to avoid defeat, with a solid chance they take all three points. The scoring profile leans more toward a controlled game rather than a wild shootout, with the “both teams to score” angle slightly favouring a single-side scoring pattern.
P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5
Under 3.5 @ 1.40 ✓ Cashed
AI 76% Implied 70% +0.40u
+40%
ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

NOT 12 FEN
54%
Possession (%)
46%
1.18
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.76
13
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
4
7
Shots off Target
3
8
Shots Inside Box
7
5
Corner Kicks
3
0
Offsides
3
12
Fouls
8
86%
Pass Accuracy (%)
83%
1
Yellow Cards
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match recap

Fenerbahçe won 2–1 away at Nottingham Forest. At half-time it was 0–1.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.76 to 1.18.

Model audit for this match: of 13 graded markets, 8 landed and 5 missed, for a net +4.50 units (Brier 0.216).

Bet recap · markets settled

13 · 8 W · 5 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes 1.80 44% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
Away Win 4.60 22% Cashed +3.60 Cashed
AH Away 0 3.30 53% Cashed +2.30 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.10 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.10 79% Cashed +1.10 Cashed
BTTS No 2.10 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.40 76% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.10 92% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.30 72% Cashed +0.30 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.90 46% Cashed +0.90 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.20 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.90 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.90 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 13 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 5 L +4.50u +35% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 3.5
NOT – FEN @ 1.40
+10.0%
Edge
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