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Home › World › UEFA Champions League › Atletico Madrid — Club Brugge KV

Predictions by Market: Atletico Madrid vs Club Brugge KV

Europe   /   UEFA Champions League Value pick inside
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Home · last 5 L W L D L
Kick-off
Tue 24 Feb · 17:45
4:1
Full-time
Club Brugge KV
Club Brugge KV
L W W D L Away · last 5
Referee Clement Turpin, France

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · ATM
60%
Best 1.40
Draw
22%
Best 5.09
Away Win · CLU
18%
Best 6.88
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 2.90
Fair odds
2.50
book 2.90 · +10.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 40% · EV +10.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 2.5 is more likely (60%), but Under 2.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win
Probability 18%
Odds 8.00
Show model details
Implied probability 12.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 22%
Odds 5.80
Show model details
Implied probability 17.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 60%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Medium
Totals 6 markets
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 22%
Odds 6.40
Show model details
Implied probability 15.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 40%
Odds 2.90
Show model details
Implied probability 35.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 42%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 58%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 60%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 68%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5 Top pick
Probability 78%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 87%
Bet quality High
BTTS 1 market
✓ BTTS Yes Top pick
Probability 58%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Medium
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2 Value pick
Probability 40%
Odds 3.30
Show model details
Implied probability 30.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 82%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality High

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
ATM – CLU @ 2.90
+10.0%
Edge
Forecast →