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Home World UEFA Champions League Atletico Madrid — Club Brugge KV

Match Atletico Madrid vs Club Brugge KV February 24, 2026 — Result and Stats

Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Home · last 5 L W L D L
Kick-off
Tue 24 Feb · 17:45
4:1
Full-time
Club Brugge KV
Club Brugge KV
L W W D L Away · last 5
Referee Clement Turpin, France
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 58% · book 1.70
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 18% · book 8.00
Miss
Under 1.5
Under 1.5
AI 22% · book 6.40
Total goals
5
4 · 1
xG (open play)
2.32 – 1.81
Δ +0.51
Possession
45% – 55%
AI accuracy
6 / 12
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read
Atletico Madrid vs Club Brugge KV prediction
Atletico look more reliable at home: they protect their box well and usually control the game tempo in Madrid. Brugge arrive with better recent results and enough attacking threat to stay competitive, but this matchup points to Atletico having the clearer routes to a result, with the visitors more likely to survive by keeping it tight rather than trading chances. The draw is a live outcome, and the away side’s safer handicap angle stands out most for value.
P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

📊 Statistics

ATM 41 CLU
45%
Possession (%)
55%
2.32
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.81
14
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
6
5
Shots off Target
1
10
Shots Inside Box
5
2
Corner Kicks
7
1
Offsides
1
5
Fouls
8
84%
Pass Accuracy (%)
87%
1
Yellow Cards
2
5
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match recap

Atletico Madrid beat Club Brugge KV 4–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 55% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.32 to 1.81. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 7 to 2. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 4 from 2.32 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 12 graded markets, 6 landed and 6 missed, for a net -3.00 units (Brier 0.142).

Bet recap · markets settled

12 · 6 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes 1.70 58% Cashed +0.70 Cashed
Away Win 8.00 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 6.40 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 5.80 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 3.30 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.90 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.20 42% Cashed +1.20 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.80 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.10 82% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
Home Win 1.40 60% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.50 60% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.10 78% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
Total · 12 markets @ 1u each 6 W · 6 L −3.00u −25% ROI