Match Celtic vs VfB Stuttgart February 19, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 2.32 — +10.0% better than the market.

Celtic come into this with strong momentum and a clear sense of identity at home: high tempo, aggressive pressing spells, and the crowd factor that often turns close ties their way. Stuttgart are in good form too, but this looks like a tougher spot away from home against a side that protects its box well and can punish loose moments on set plays and second balls. Expect a competitive match where Celtic have the slightly better paths to the win, while a draw remains very live if Stuttgart keep the game in control for long stretches.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 2.32 ✗ Lost

AI 48% Implied 43% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

CEL 4-3-3 · STU 4-2-3-1

CEL · 4-3-3 4-2-3-1 · STU

23 Tounekti

📊 Statistics

CEL 1 – 4 STU

51%

Possession (%)

49%

1.14

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.51

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

85%

Pass Accuracy (%)

83%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

VfB Stuttgart won 4–1 away at Celtic. At half-time it was 1–2.

In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 16 shots to 8, 5 on target. In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 4 from 1.51 expected goals.

Model audit for this match: of 14 graded markets, 7 landed and 7 missed, for a net -1.57 units (Brier 0.259).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

14 · 7 W · 7 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes	1.67	—	52%	Cashed	+0.67	Cashed
Home Win	3.39	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.72	—	74%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.32	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.64	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	2.39	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.14	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.45	—	70%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.26	—	80%	Cashed	+0.26	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.05	—	94%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.84	—	52%	Cashed	+0.84	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.00	—	30%	Cashed	+2.00	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.37	—	56%	Cashed	+0.37	Cashed
Away Win	2.24	—	30%	Cashed	+1.24	Cashed
Total · 14 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	7 W · 7 L	−1.57u	−11% ROI