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Home › Scotland › Premiership › Motherwell — Celtic

Prediction: Motherwell vs Celtic, October 11

Scotland   /   Premiership Value pick inside
Motherwell
Motherwell
Home · last 5 D W L L L
Kick-off
Sun 11 Oct · 11:00
0:1
Live · 45'
Celtic
Celtic
W W W W L Away · last 5
Fir Park · Motherwell

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · MOT
14%
Best 5.00
Draw
21%
Best 4.50
Away Win · CEL
65%
Best 1.60

Model verdict

Model leans toward Celtic to win — 65% probability.

Also rated highly: Over 2.5 goals 65%, both teams to score 59%.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 65% Celtic win
Over/Under 2.5 65% Over 2.5
BTTS 59% Yes
Double Chance 86% X2
  • 1X2 Celtic win 65%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 65%
  • BTTS Yes 59%
  • Double Chance X2 86%
Open betting analysis

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Motherwell
W/D/L 1-1-3
Goals (for / against) 7 / 10
Avg goals / match 3.4
Scored in 3/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 2/5
Over 2.5 4/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-0-1
Away (W-D-L) 0-1-2
xG (for / against) 2.17 / 2.27
Celtic
W/D/L 3-0-2
Goals (for / against) 7 / 5
Avg goals / match 2.4
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 2/5
Both teams scored 2/5
Over 2.5 3/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-0-2
Away (W-D-L) 2-0-0

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
1.29
Goals Scored
2
1.57
Goals Conceded
0.57
0.72
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
4.71
Shots on Target
8.29
5.57
Corners
9.43
59.14
Possession (%)
60.14
101.31
Efficiency index
95.23
94.20
Adjusted index
151.16
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
42
OFF · home
83
42
DEF · home
100
42
OFF · away
92
17
DEF · away
100
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

Scenario insights

①
Motherwell wins when scoring first
—
①
Celtic wins when scoring first
—
⚽
Motherwell BTTS rate · last 10
50%
⚽
Celtic BTTS rate · last 10
50%
↑
Motherwell Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
↑
Celtic Over 2.5 · last 10
70%
↩
Motherwell comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
Celtic comeback rate · last 10
33%

Goal timing

Celtic · last 1 away

0–15 0%
16–30 0%
31–45 0%
46–60 100%
61–75 0%
76–90 0%
Second-half-heavy — most goals come after the break.

Top scorers

A. Lowry
MOT · Midfielder
2 G · 0.40 g/90
I. Said
MOT · Attacker
1 G · 0.50 g/90
B. Nygren
CEL · Midfielder
3 G · 0.56 g/90
K. Høgh
CEL · Attacker
3 G · 0.88 g/90