Wales beat Macedonia 7–1 at home. At half-time it was 3–1.
In possession, the hosts ran the game with 71% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 91% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 6, 9 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 9 to 3. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.
Model audit for this match: of 19 graded markets, 9 landed and 10 missed, for a net -2.38 units (Brier 0.190).
| Market | Odds | Closed | AI | Result | P/L · 1u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 2.26 | — | 46% | Cashed | +1.26 | Cashed |
| Double Chance X2 | 2.15 | — | 51% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Over 1.5 | 1.42 | — | 74% | Cashed | +0.42 | Cashed |
| AH Away +1 | 11.50 | — | 9% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Over 0.5 | 1.09 | — | 92% | Cashed | +0.09 | Cashed |
| Under 3.5 | 1.27 | — | 78% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Draw | 3.60 | — | 26% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| AH Home +1 | 1.04 | — | 90% | Cashed | +0.04 | Cashed |
| BTTS No | 1.76 | — | 55% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Under 2.5 | 1.77 | — | 54% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Away Win | 5.30 | — | 25% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| BTTS Yes | 2.12 | — | 45% | Cashed | +1.12 | Cashed |
| Over 3.5 | 4.33 | — | 22% | Cashed | +3.33 | Cashed |
| AH Away 0 | 3.81 | — | 25% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Home Win | 1.88 | — | 49% | Cashed | +0.88 | Cashed |
| Double Chance 1X | 1.20 | — | 75% | Cashed | +0.20 | Cashed |
| Under 1.5 | 3.15 | — | 26% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| AH Home 0 | 1.28 | — | 49% | Cashed | +0.28 | Cashed |
| Under 0.5 | 9.00 | — | 8% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Total · 19 markets @ 1u each | — | — | — | 9 W · 10 L | −2.38u | −13% ROI |
