Wales vs FYR Macedonia 7:1: Match Review & Stats
Wales
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W
L
W
W
D
Kick-off
Tue 18 Nov · 19:45
7:1
Full-time
Referee Danny Makkelie, Netherlands
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 46% · book 2.26
✓
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 51% · book 2.15
✗
Hit
Over 1.5
Over 1.5
AI 74% · book 1.42
✓
AI accuracy
9 / 19
picks cashed
Model verdict
Post-match · 90 sec read
AI picks Double Chance X2 at 2.15 — +9.7% better than the market.
Wales should edge this at home with more control and set-piece threat, while Macedonia’s unbeaten streak gives them live counterpunch chances. Expect a measured game with Wales on the front foot and the visitors dangerous in spells.
P
Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2 @ 2.15
✗ Lost
AI 51%
Implied 47%
−1.00u
⛀ Lineups
WAL 4-1-4-1 · MAC 5-3-2
📊 Statistics
WAL 7
– 1 MAC
91%
Pass Accuracy (%)
74%
Match recap
Wales beat FYR Macedonia 7–1 at home. At half-time it was 3–1.
In possession, the hosts ran the game with 71% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 91% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 6, 9 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 9 to 3. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.
Model audit for this match: of 19 graded markets, 9 landed and 10 missed, for a net -2.38 units (Brier 0.190).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
19 · 9 W · 10 L
| Market |
Odds |
Closed |
AI |
Result |
P/L · 1u |
|
| Over 2.5 |
2.26 |
— |
46% |
Cashed |
+1.26 |
Cashed
|
| Double Chance X2 |
2.15 |
— |
51% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 1.5 |
1.42 |
— |
74% |
Cashed |
+0.42 |
Cashed
|
| AH Away +1 |
11.50 |
— |
9% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 0.5 |
1.09 |
— |
92% |
Cashed |
+0.09 |
Cashed
|
| Under 3.5 |
1.27 |
— |
78% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Draw |
3.60 |
— |
26% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Home +1 |
1.04 |
— |
90% |
Cashed |
+0.04 |
Cashed
|
| BTTS No |
1.76 |
— |
55% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 2.5 |
1.77 |
— |
54% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Away Win |
5.30 |
— |
25% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| BTTS Yes |
2.12 |
— |
45% |
Cashed |
+1.12 |
Cashed
|
| Over 3.5 |
4.33 |
— |
22% |
Cashed |
+3.33 |
Cashed
|
| AH Away 0 |
3.81 |
— |
25% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Home Win |
1.88 |
— |
49% |
Cashed |
+0.88 |
Cashed
|
| Double Chance 1X |
1.20 |
— |
75% |
Cashed |
+0.20 |
Cashed
|
| Under 1.5 |
3.15 |
— |
26% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Home 0 |
1.28 |
— |
49% |
Cashed |
+0.28 |
Cashed
|
| Under 0.5 |
9.00 |
— |
8% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Total · 19 markets @ 1u each |
— |
— |
— |
9 W · 10 L |
−2.38u |
−13% ROI |
