Spain and Türkiye drew 2–2. At half-time it was 1–1.
In possession, the hosts ran the game with 73% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 93% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 20 shots to 13, 9 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 3. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.
Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +4.20 units (Brier 0.231).
| Market | Odds | Closed | AI | Result | P/L · 1u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1.44 | — | 66% | Cashed | +0.44 | Cashed |
| Draw | 7.90 | — | 17% | Cashed | +6.90 | Cashed |
| Double Chance X2 | 4.60 | — | 26% | Cashed | +3.60 | Cashed |
| Under 3.5 | 1.89 | — | 58% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| BTTS No | 1.92 | — | 56% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Under 2.5 | 3.10 | — | 34% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Under 1.5 | 6.75 | — | 15% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Over 0.5 | 1.02 | — | 96% | Cashed | +0.02 | Cashed |
| Over 1.5 | 1.13 | — | 85% | Cashed | +0.13 | Cashed |
| Away Win | 15.50 | — | 9% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Over 3.5 | 2.07 | — | 42% | Cashed | +1.07 | Cashed |
| Under 0.5 | 22.00 | — | 4% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Home Win | 1.26 | — | 74% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Double Chance 1X | 1.05 | — | 91% | Cashed | +0.05 | Cashed |
| BTTS Yes | 1.99 | — | 44% | Cashed | +0.99 | Cashed |
| AH Home 0 | 1.05 | — | 74% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| AH Away 0 | 10.50 | — | 9% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Total · 17 markets @ 1u each | — | — | — | 8 W · 9 L | +4.20u | +25% ROI |
