Poland and Netherlands drew 1–1. At half-time it was 1–0.
In possession, the visitors ran the game with 60% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 12 shots to 8, 5 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.
Model audit for this match: of 14 graded markets, 9 landed and 5 missed, for a net +2.70 units (Brier 0.188).
| Market | Odds | Closed | AI | Result | P/L · 1u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1.75 | — | 61% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Over 3.5 | 2.75 | — | 40% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Home Win | 5.25 | — | 20% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| BTTS Yes | 1.73 | — | 60% | Cashed | +0.73 | Cashed |
| Over 1.5 | 1.22 | — | 85% | Cashed | +0.22 | Cashed |
| Double Chance 1X | 2.30 | — | 43% | Cashed | +1.30 | Cashed |
| Over 0.5 | 1.04 | — | 95% | Cashed | +0.04 | Cashed |
| Away Win | 1.71 | — | 57% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Draw | 4.22 | — | 23% | Cashed | +3.22 | Cashed |
| Double Chance X2 | 1.21 | — | 80% | Cashed | +0.21 | Cashed |
| AH Home +2 | 1.23 | — | 75% | Cashed | +0.23 | Cashed |
| Under 3.5 | 1.50 | — | 60% | Cashed | +0.50 | Cashed |
| Under 2.5 | 2.25 | — | 39% | Cashed | +1.25 | Cashed |
| Under 0.5 | 15.00 | — | 5% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Total · 14 markets @ 1u each | — | — | — | 9 W · 5 L | +2.70u | +19% ROI |
