Match 1. FC Heidenheim vs SC Freiburg December 6, 2025

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.99 — +9.1% better than the market.

SC Freiburg enters this clash with a clear quality edge and better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand. Their stronger offensive capabilities against Heidenheim's defense could unlock chances, while Heidenheim's home momentum is tempered by defensive vulnerabilities. The match may see a moderate tempo, with Freiburg likely to press and control possession.

Freiburg's attacking edge versus Heidenheim's defense
Home side's recent mixed form and defensive frailties
Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.99 ✗ Lost

AI 55% Implied 50% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

HEI 3-1-4-2 · FRE 4-2-3-1

HEI · 3-1-4-2 4-2-3-1 · FRE

17 Honsak

Subs used · HEI

46'

Siersleben ↑ ·

Keller ↓

46'

Ibrahimovic ↑ ·

Gimber ↓

70'

Schimmer ↑ ·

Niehues ↓

83'

H. Traore ↑ ·

Busch ↓

88'

Kerber ↑ ·

Dorsch ↓

Subs used · FRE

46'

Rosenfelder ↑ ·

Lienhart ↓

67'

Suzuki ↑ ·

Manzambi ↓

67'

Scherhant ↑ ·

Grifo ↓

71'

Jung ↑

84'

Gunter ↑ ·

Kubler ↓

📊 Statistics

HEI 2 – 1 FRE

38%

Possession (%)

62%

2.22

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.84

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

74%

Pass Accuracy (%)

81%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

16 · 2 – 1

Thomas Keller

Yellow Card

▮

13'

Benedikt Gimber

Yellow Card

▮

37'

40'

⚽

J. Manzambi

Assist · P. Treu · 0–1

Half-time · 0 – 1

T. Siersleben ↓ · T. Keller ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

A. Ibrahimovic ↓ · B. Gimber ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

46'

⇄

M. Rosenfelder ↓ · P. Lienhart ↑

Substitution 1

P. Mainka

Assist · M. Busch · 1–1

⚽

59'

67'

⇄

Y. Suzuki ↓ · J. Manzambi ↑

Substitution 2

67'

⇄

D. Scherhant ↓ · V. Grifo ↑

Substitution 3

S. Schimmer ↓ · J. Niehues ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

70'

71'

⇄

A. Jung ↓ ·

Substitution 4

O. H. Traore ↓ · M. Busch ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

83'

84'

⇄

C. Gunter ↓ · L. Kubler ↑

Substitution 5

87'

▮

Anthony Jung

Yellow Card

L. Kerber ↓ · N. Dorsch ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

88'

S. Schimmer

2–1

⚽

90'

Full-time · 2 – 1

Match recap

1. FC Heidenheim beat SC Freiburg 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 62% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.22 to 0.84. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: J. Manzambi (40'), P. Mainka (59'), S. Schimmer (90').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.53 units (Brier 0.264).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	2.02	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.99	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.10	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.95	—	45%	Cashed	+0.95	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.78	—	49%	Cashed	+0.78	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.92	—	43%	Cashed	+0.92	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.82	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.29	—	82%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.44	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	11.70	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.37	—	75%	Cashed	+0.37	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.06	—	91%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Draw	3.70	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.30	—	71%	Cashed	+0.30	Cashed
AH Home 0	2.99	—	18%	Cashed	+1.99	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.25	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	4.10	—	18%	Cashed	+3.10	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−0.53u	−3% ROI

Match 1. FC Heidenheim vs SC Freiburg December 6, 2025 — Result and Stats

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.99 — +9.1% better than the market.

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled