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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › 1. FC Heidenheim — SC Freiburg

Predictions by Market: 1. FC Heidenheim vs SC Freiburg

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Heidenheim
Home · last 5 L W D W L
Kick-off
Sat 06 Dec · 14:30
2:1
Full-time
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
W L D L W Away · last 5
Voith-Arena · Heidenheim an der Brenz Referee Florian Exner, Germany

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · HEI
18%
Best 4.45
Draw
25%
Best 3.53
Away Win · FRE
57%
Best 1.84
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 3.82
Fair odds
3.40
book 3.82 · +12.2% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 29% · EV +12.2%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (71%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Top pick
Probability 57.2%
Odds 2.02
Show model details
Implied probability 49.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 24.9%
Odds 3.70
Show model details
Implied probability 27%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 17.9%
Odds 4.10
Show model details
Implied probability 24.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 54.9%
Odds 1.99
Show model details
Implied probability 50.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 45.2%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 29.4%
Odds 3.82
Show model details
Implied probability 26.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 9.2%
Odds 11.70
Show model details
Implied probability 8.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 75.4%
Odds 1.37
Show model details
Implied probability 73%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 90.8%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 70.6%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 24.6%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Top pick
Probability 51%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 49.1%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.2%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 57.2%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 17.9%
Odds 2.99
Show model details
Implied probability 33.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 42.8%
Odds 1.92
Show model details
Implied probability 52.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 82.1%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
HEI – FRE @ 3.82
+12.2%
Edge
Forecast →