Match Motherwell vs ST Mirren January 3, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.78 — +14.6% better than the market.

Motherwell holds a clear quality edge and home momentum, boasting a stronger defensive setup that could stifle ST Mirren’s attack. Their recent form shows resilience with multiple wins, while ST Mirren’s patchy away record and lower scoring threat suggest a cautious game. Expect a compact home block and controlled tempo, with limited goal-scoring chances.

Home defensive solidity vs away attack
Superior recent form and home confidence
Likely moderate pace with few goals

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.78 ✓ Cashed

AI 64% Implied 56% +0.78u

+78%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

MOT 4-1-3-2 · MIR 3-4-1-2

MOT · 4-1-3-2 3-4-1-2 · MIR

90 Said

📊 Statistics

MOT 2 – 0 MIR

55%

Possession (%)

45%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

83%

Pass Accuracy (%)

75%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Motherwell beat ST Mirren 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 55% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 83% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 9, 8 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.68 units (Brier 0.103).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	1.99	—	59%	Cashed	+0.99	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.78	—	64%	Cashed	+0.78	Cashed
Home Win	2.06	—	56%	Cashed	+1.06	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.82	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.90	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.12	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.30	—	83%	Cashed	+0.30	Cashed
Under 0.5	9.00	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.40	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.26	—	82%	Cashed	+0.26	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.48	—	56%	Cashed	+0.48	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.08	—	84%	Cashed	+0.08	Cashed
Draw	3.40	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.37	—	61%	Cashed	+0.37	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.94	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	4.11	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.80	—	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.68u	−28% ROI