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Home Scotland Premiership Motherwell — ST Mirren

Predictions Motherwell vs ST Mirren January 3, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Scotland   /   Premiership Value pick inside
Motherwell
Motherwell
Home · last 5 W L D L W
Kick-off
Sat 03 Jan · 15:00
2:0
Full-time
ST Mirren
ST Mirren
L W D D W Away · last 5
Fir Park · Motherwell
Home Win · MOT
56%
Best 1.95
Draw
27%
Best 3.26
Away Win · MIR
18%
Best 4.05
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 1.78
Fair odds
1.55
book 1.78 · +14.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 64% · EV +14.6%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 55.8%
Odds 2.06
Show model details
Implied probability 48.5%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 26.5%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 17.7%
Odds 4.11
Show model details
Implied probability 24.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 64.4%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.2%
Bet quality High
Over 2.5
Probability 35.6%
Odds 2.12
Show model details
Implied probability 47.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5 Value pick
Probability 83.4%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality High
Under 0.5
Probability 15.6%
Odds 9.00
Show model details
Implied probability 11.1%
Bet quality Medium
Under 1.5
Probability 38.7%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Medium
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 84.5%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 61.3%
Odds 1.37
Show model details
Implied probability 73%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 16.6%
Odds 3.80
Show model details
Implied probability 26.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Value pick
Probability 58.8%
Odds 1.99
Show model details
Implied probability 50.3%
Bet quality High
BTTS Yes
Probability 41.2%
Odds 1.90
Show model details
Implied probability 52.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 55.8%
Odds 1.48
Show model details
Implied probability 67.6%
Bet quality Low
AH Away 0
Probability 17.7%
Odds 2.94
Show model details
Implied probability 34%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 44.2%
Odds 1.82
Show model details
Implied probability 55%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 82.3%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.4%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
MOT – MIR @ 1.78
+14.6%
Edge
Forecast →