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Prognosist
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⚽ Football 57 + Value 23 📈 Forecasts
Football World UEFA Europa League FC Basel 1893 — Aston Villa
World   /   UEFA Europa League Value pick inside
FC Basel 1893
FC Basel 1893
Home · last 5 W L L L L
Kick-off
Thu 11 Dec · 20:00
1:2
Full-time
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
W W L W W Away · last 5
St. Jakob-Park · Basel Referee Halil Umut Meler, Türkiye
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 67% · book 1.65
Miss
Under 0.5
Under 0.5
AI 7% · book 19.00
Miss
Draw
Draw
AI 25% · book 4.29
Total goals
3
1 · 2
xG (open play)
0.70 – 0.42
Δ +0.28
Possession
42% – 58%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.65 — +11.0% better than the market.

Aston Villa travel to Switzerland in outstanding form and should have a slight but clear edge over FC Basel at St. Jakob-Park. The English side combine steady chance creation in Europe with strong domestic attacking numbers, while Basel are more inconsistent and often leave gaps at the back when they try to push forward. The hosts can still be dangerous in front of their own fans and have enough pace to hurt Villa on counters, but over ninety minutes the visitors look more balanced and better equipped to control key phases of the game. Expect an open match with both teams creating chances, Aston Villa closer to the win and a good probability of seeing at least two or three goals overall. This FC Basel vs Aston Villa prediction points towards an away-favoured result with several solid handicap and goals betting options.
P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5
Under 3.5 @ 1.65 ✓ Cashed
AI 67% Implied 61% +0.65u
+65%
ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

BAS 12 AST
42%
Possession (%)
58%
0.70
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.42
9
Total Shots
7
3
Shots on Target
4
4
Shots off Target
1
5
Shots Inside Box
6
1
Corner Kicks
4
7
Offsides
0
11
Fouls
13
86%
Pass Accuracy (%)
88%
2
Yellow Cards
4
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 3.5 1.65 67% Cashed +0.65 Cashed
Under 0.5 19.00 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 4.29 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.47 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.55 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 5.20 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 4.30 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 2.09 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.29 76% Cashed +0.29 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.04 93% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.18 80% Cashed +0.18 Cashed
Away Win 1.83 51% Cashed +0.83 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.57 59% Cashed +0.57 Cashed
AH Home 0 3.04 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.57 57% Cashed +0.57 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.42 57% Cashed +0.42 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.45 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −5.45u −32% ROI
Best bet of the night · Under 3.5
BAS – AST @ 1.65
+11.0%
Edge
Forecast →