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Home World UEFA Europa League FC Basel 1893 — Aston Villa

Predictions FC Basel 1893 vs Aston Villa December 11, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

Europe   /   UEFA Europa League Value pick inside
FC Basel 1893
FC Basel 1893
Home · last 5 W L L L L
Kick-off
Thu 11 Dec · 20:00
1:2
Full-time
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
W W L W W Away · last 5
St. Jakob-Park · Basel Referee Halil Umut Meler, Türkiye
Home Win · BAS
24%
Best 4.75
Draw
25%
Best 4.00
Away Win · AST
51%
Best 1.67
Value pick
Under 3.5
@ 1.65
Fair odds
1.49
book 1.65 · +11.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 67% · EV +11.0%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Draw
Probability 25%
Odds 4.29
Show model details
Implied probability 23.3%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 24%
Odds 4.30
Show model details
Implied probability 23.3%
Bet quality Low
Away Win Best in group
Probability 51%
Odds 1.83
Show model details
Implied probability 54.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 3.5 Value pick
Probability 67%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.6%
Bet quality Medium
Under 0.5
Probability 7%
Odds 19.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 43%
Odds 2.47
Show model details
Implied probability 40.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 20%
Odds 5.20
Show model details
Implied probability 19.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Top pick
Probability 93%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality High
Over 1.5
Probability 80%
Odds 1.18
Show model details
Implied probability 84.7%
Bet quality High
Over 2.5
Probability 57%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Medium
Over 3.5
Probability 33%
Odds 2.45
Show model details
Implied probability 40.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 41%
Odds 2.55
Show model details
Implied probability 39.2%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes Top pick
Probability 59%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Medium
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0
Probability 30%
Odds 3.04
Show model details
Implied probability 32.9%
Bet quality Low
AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 57%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Medium
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 49%
Odds 2.09
Show model details
Implied probability 47.8%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 76%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 3.5
BAS – AST @ 1.65
+11.0%
Edge
Forecast →