Match SC Freiburg vs Red Bull Salzburg December 11, 2025

Post-match · 90 sec read

SC Freiburg host Red Bull Salzburg in a clash between two proactive attacking sides, but the Austrian champions look slightly better equipped over ninety minutes. Salzburg create more clear chances both in Europe and at home, and even if their recent results have been mixed, their forward line usually finds ways to hurt opponents. Freiburg are strong at Europa-Park Stadion and have enough creativity to trouble the visitors, yet they also allow space in transition that Salzburg can exploit. Expect an open game with phases of pressure from the hosts but more cutting edge from the visitors, a good likelihood of both teams scoring and the total goals line pushed towards three or more.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

FRE 4-2-3-1 · SAL 4-2-3-1

FRE · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · SAL

20 Adamu

📊 Statistics

FRE 1 – 0 SAL

59%

Possession (%)

41%

1.99

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.46

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

87%

Pass Accuracy (%)

80%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

SC Freiburg beat Red Bull Salzburg 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 59% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.99 to 0.46. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 28 shots to 6, 5 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 10 to 2. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 18 graded markets, 8 landed and 10 missed, for a net -2.34 units (Brier 0.271).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

18 · 8 W · 10 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes	1.87	—	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	5.25	—	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	7.16	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	2.91	—	68%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	—	95%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.20	—	80%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.13	—	59%	Cashed	+0.13	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.67	—	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.55	—	66%	Cashed	+0.55	Cashed
AH Away -1	2.27	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.47	—	32%	Cashed	+0.47	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.16	—	44%	Cashed	+0.16	Cashed
BTTS No	2.00	—	42%	Cashed	+1.00	Cashed
Draw	5.06	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.41	—	42%	Cashed	+1.41	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.55	—	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.90	—	20%	Cashed	+3.90	Cashed
Under 0.5	17.50	—	5%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 18 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 10 L	−2.34u	−13% ROI

Match SC Freiburg vs Red Bull Salzburg December 11, 2025 — Result and Stats

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled