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Home › Austria › Bundesliga › Red Bull Salzburg — Austria Vienna

Red Bull Salzburg vs Austria Vienna 4:1: Match Review & Stats

Austria   /   Bundesliga Value pick inside
Red Bull Salzburg
Red Bull Salzburg
Home · last 5 W W D W D
Kick-off
Sun 30 Aug · 17:00
4:1
Full-time
Austria Vienna
Austria Vienna
L L W D L Away · last 5
Referee W. Altmann
Hit
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 54% · book 2.20 ✓
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 46% · book 2.20 ✗
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 54% · book 1.64 ✓
Total goals
5
4 · 1
xG (open play)
1.66 – 0.69
Δ +0.97
Possession
70% – 30%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 1.48 — +8.0% better than the market.

Red Bull Salzburg enter this clash with clear home momentum, boasting a strong recent run and superior points per game. Their attacking threat is evident, likely to test Austria Vienna's defense repeatedly. The visitors, struggling for form, face a tough task breaking down Salzburg's compact block. Expect a lively tempo with chances at both ends, but Salzburg's pressing edge and home comfort should tilt the balance.

  • Salzburg's solid recent form and home strength
  • Austria Vienna's defensive resilience tested
  • Potential for an open game with goal opportunities

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5
Over 2.5 @ 1.48 ✓ Cashed
AI 73% Implied 68% +0.48u
+48%
ROI on stake

Statistics

SAL 4 – 1 AUT
70%
Possession (%)
30%
1.66
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.69
12
Total Shots
7
5
Shots on Target
3
3
Shots off Target
3
8
Shots Inside Box
5
7
Corner Kicks
4
0
Offsides
1
3
Fouls
7
92%
Pass Accuracy (%)
81%
1
Yellow Cards
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match recap

Red Bull Salzburg beat Austria Vienna 4–1 at home. At half-time it was 3–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 70% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 92% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.66 to 0.69. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 12 shots to 7, 5 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 4. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 4 from 1.66 expected goals.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -3.16 units (Brier 0.123).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 3.5 2.20 — 54% Cashed +1.20 Cashed
BTTS No 2.20 — 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.64 — 54% Cashed +0.64 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.66 — 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.60 — 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.48 — 73% Cashed +0.48 Cashed
Double Chance X2 3.00 — 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.41 — 64% Cashed +0.41 Cashed
Away Win 6.68 — 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.11 — 84% Cashed +0.11 Cashed
Draw 5.00 — 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each — — — 5 W · 6 L −3.16u −29% ROI
Value pick of the night · Over 2.5
SAL – AUT @ 1.48
+8.0%
Edge
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