Real Betis beat Utrecht 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.
In possession, the hosts ran the game with 65% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 87% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.74 to 0.44. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 5, 7 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves.
Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.84 units (Brier 0.094).
| Market | Odds | Closed | AI | Result | P/L · 1u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 1.50 | — | 68% | Cashed | +0.50 | Cashed |
| Away Win | 9.70 | — | 14% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Double Chance X2 | 3.43 | — | 32% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Under 0.5 | 15.50 | — | 7% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| AH Away 0 | 6.25 | — | 17% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Under 1.5 | 4.70 | — | 22% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Under 2.5 | 2.29 | — | 44% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| BTTS No | 1.87 | — | 53% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Draw | 5.50 | — | 18% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Over 2.5 | 1.73 | — | 56% | Cashed | +0.73 | Cashed |
| BTTS Yes | 2.06 | — | 47% | Cashed | +1.06 | Cashed |
| Over 0.5 | 1.04 | — | 93% | Cashed | +0.04 | Cashed |
| Over 1.5 | 1.23 | — | 78% | Cashed | +0.23 | Cashed |
| Home Win | 1.39 | — | 68% | Cashed | +0.39 | Cashed |
| Double Chance 1X | 1.09 | — | 86% | Cashed | +0.09 | Cashed |
| AH Home 0 | 1.12 | — | 83% | Cashed | +0.12 | Cashed |
| Over 3.5 | 2.70 | — | 32% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Total · 17 markets @ 1u each | — | — | — | 8 W · 9 L | −5.84u | −34% ROI |
