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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Germany Germany Bundesliga FSV Mainz 05 — Werder Bremen

Match FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen November 1, 2025

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
Home · last 5 D L W L W
Kick-off
Sat 01 Nov · 14:30
1:1
Full-time
Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen
W D L L L Away · last 5
Mewa Arena · Mainz Referee Florian Badstubner, Germany
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 67% · book 1.64
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 59% · book 1.88
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 46% · book 2.48
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
1.39 – 0.95
Δ +0.44
Possession
47% – 53%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.64 — +10.5% better than the market.

Werder Bremen enters this clash with a clear quality edge and better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand despite playing away. Mainz’s defensive solidity might keep the scoreline tight, but Bremen’s slightly stronger attack could exploit gaps, especially on transitions. The pace hints at a moderately open game, with chances for both sides but a slight lean towards Bremen’s control.

  • Mainz’s home defense vs Bremen’s sharper offense
  • Bremen’s recent form and overall quality advantage
  • Moderate tempo favoring tactical battles and counterattacks

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5
Under 3.5 @ 1.64 ✓ Cashed
AI 67% Implied 61% +0.64u
+64%
ROI on stake

Lineups

MAI 3-4-2-1 · WER 4-2-3-1
Subs used · MAI
69' Sieb ↑ · Hollerbach
77' da Costa ↑ · Mwene
77' Veratschnig ↑ · Widmer
89' Nordin ↑ · Nebel
89' Weiper ↑ · Jae-Sung
Subs used · WER
46' Puertas ↑ · Mbangula
64' Topp ↑ · Boniface
64' Njinmah ↑ · Grull
81' Schmidt ↑ · Coulibaly
90+2' Stark ↑ · Schmid

📊 Statistics

MAI 11 WER
47%
Possession (%)
53%
1.39
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.95
10
Total Shots
5
5
Shots on Target
3
3
Shots off Target
2
7
Shots Inside Box
5
2
Corner Kicks
0
4
Offsides
1
19
Fouls
11
77%
Pass Accuracy (%)
80%
1
Yellow Cards
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

16 · 1 – 1
S. Widmer
Assist · B. Hollerbach · 1–0
36'
45'
Marco Friedl
Yellow Card
Half-time · 1 – 0
46'
C. Puertas ↓ · S. Mbangula ↑
Substitution 1
59'
Karim Coulibaly
Yellow Card
64'
K. Topp ↓ · V. Boniface ↑
Substitution 2
64'
J. Njinmah ↓ · M. Grull ↑
Substitution 3
A. Sieb ↓ · B. Hollerbach ↑
Substitution 1
69'
D. da Costa ↓ · P. Mwene ↑
Substitution 2
77'
N. Veratschnig ↓ · S. Widmer ↑
Substitution 3
77'
81'
I. Schmidt ↓ · K. Coulibaly ↑
Substitution 4
86'
J. Stage
1–1
88'
Keke Topp
Yellow Card
A. Nordin ↓ · P. Nebel ↑
Substitution 4
89'
N. Weiper ↓ · Lee Jae-Sung ↑
Substitution 5
89'
Nikolas Veratschnig
Yellow Card
90+2'
90+2'
N. Stark ↓ · R. Schmid ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 1 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 3.5 1.64 67% Cashed +0.64 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.88 59% Cashed +0.88 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.48 46% Cashed +1.48 Cashed
BTTS No 2.63 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.66 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.05 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.46 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.70 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 5.50 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.34 65% Cashed +0.34 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.53 57% Cashed +0.53 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.58 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 17.50 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.04 93% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.52 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 4.00 24% Cashed +3.00 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.19 77% Cashed +0.19 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −1.90u −11% ROI
Best bet of the night · Under 3.5
MAI – WER @ 1.64
+10.5%
Edge
Forecast →