Match Nice vs SC Freiburg November 6, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

At Allianz Riviera, Nice’s recent uptick and sturdier home shape point to a slight edge in a measured game. Freiburg threaten on counters and set-pieces, but the overall script leans controlled rather than chaotic. Expect a cagey first hour; Nice not to lose and conservative totals rate best unless an early goal flips the tempo.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

NIC 3-4-1-2 · FRE 4-2-3-1

NIC · 3-4-1-2 4-2-3-1 · FRE

7 Boga

📊 Statistics

NIC 1 – 3 FRE

59%

Possession (%)

41%

1.91

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.16

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

85%

Pass Accuracy (%)

78%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

SC Freiburg won 3–1 away at Nice. At half-time it was 1–3.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 59% of the ball. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 6 landed and 11 missed, for a net -6.20 units (Brier 0.291).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 6 W · 11 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance 1X	1.50	—	72%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.00	—	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	12.00	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.72	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.21	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.46	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home +1	1.21	—	85%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.00	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.27	—	31%	Cashed	+2.27	Cashed
AH Home +2	1.04	—	96%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.07	—	90%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.38	—	69%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.94	—	49%	Cashed	+0.94	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.30	—	68%	Cashed	+0.30	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.70	—	52%	Cashed	+0.70	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.52	—	58%	Cashed	+0.52	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.95	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	6 W · 11 L	−6.20u	−36% ROI