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Home World UEFA Europa League Bologna — SC Freiburg

Match Bologna vs SC Freiburg October 2, 2025 — Result and Stats

Bologna
Bologna
Home · last 5 W D W L L
Kick-off
Thu 02 Oct · 16:45
1:1
Full-time
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
W W L W L Away · last 5
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara · Bologna Referee Nenad Minaković, Serbia
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 33% · book 4.20
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 62% · book 1.92
Miss
Home Team Total Under 0.5
Home Team Total Under 0.5
AI 27% · book 4.50
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
0.78 – 2.18
Δ −1.40
Possession
55% – 45%
AI accuracy
1 / 5
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Bologna vs SC Freiburg — preview, probabilities & betting insights. Venue and league context tilt a touch toward Bologna at the Dall’Ara, but Freiburg bring the cleaner transition threat and the better recent points trend. Expect Bologna to own longer phases of possession, while Freiburg look to spring into space and attack early balls into the channels.

Game script & totals. The scoring baseline skews modest: both sides manage risk well, and first-half caution is likely. Safer protection clusters around X2 and selective unders; the higher-variance stance is the outright away win if transitions bite or a set-piece breaks parity. Swing factors: midfield duels, discipline, and how quickly either team turns regain into shots.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

📊 Statistics

BOL 11 FRE
55%
Possession (%)
45%
0.78
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.18
8
Total Shots
12
3
Shots on Target
6
3
Shots off Target
4
4
Shots Inside Box
11
2
Corner Kicks
8
2
Offsides
3
16
Fouls
18
80%
Pass Accuracy (%)
77%
2
Yellow Cards
2
4
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match recap

Bologna and SC Freiburg drew 1–1. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 55% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.18 to 0.78. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 12 shots to 8, 6 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 8 to 2. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 5 graded markets, 1 landed and 4 missed, for a net -3.08 units (Brier 0.143).

Bet recap · markets settled

5 · 1 W · 4 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 4.20 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.92 62% Cashed +0.92 Cashed
Home Team Total Under 0.5 4.50 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.50 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.96 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 5 markets @ 1u each 1 W · 4 L −3.08u −62% ROI