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Home Germany Germany Bundesliga Bayer Leverkusen — Union Berlin

Match Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin October 4, 2025 — Result and Stats

Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
Home · last 5 L W W L D
Kick-off
Sat 04 Oct · 13:30
2:0
Full-time
Union Berlin
Union Berlin
L L D W W Away · last 5
BayArena · Leverkusen Referee Christian Dingert, Germany
Hit
AH Home 0
AH Home 0
AI 85% · book 1.30
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 61% · book 1.72
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 35% · book 3.10
Total goals
2
2 · 0
xG (open play)
2.79 – 0.77
Δ +2.02
Possession
74% – 26%
AI accuracy
4 / 7
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin: the hosts carry a clear but not overwhelming edge thanks to stronger overall levels and cleaner chance creation. Union’s set-piece threat keeps them competitive, but Leverkusen’s home control should dictate long stretches.

Baseline expects a medium pace with the home side more likely to convert pressure into goals. Our numbers lean Leverkusen on the main result markets and shade Over 2.5 slightly above fair, with game-state risk (an early home goal) the key driver of higher totals.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

BAY 3-4-2-1 · UNI 3-4-2-1
Subs used · BAY
46' Arthur ↑ · Lucas
46' Maza ↑ · Grimaldo
69' Andrich ↑ · Fernandez
81' Hofmann ↑ · M. Kofane
89' Belocian ↑ · Poku
Subs used · UNI
64' Kemlein ↑ · Schafer
64' Skarke ↑ · Burke
64' Ansah ↑ · Woo-Yeong
71' Rothe ↑ · Trimmel
71' Haberer ↑ · Leite

📊 Statistics

BAY 20 UNI
74%
Possession (%)
26%
2.79
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.77
20
Total Shots
10
3
Shots on Target
3
12
Shots off Target
5
8
Shots Inside Box
7
4
Corner Kicks
4
1
Offsides
0
11
Fouls
13
92%
Pass Accuracy (%)
72%
1
Yellow Cards
3
3
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match events

16 · 2 – 0
E. Poku
Assist · Lucas · 1–0
33'
Half-time · 1 – 0
Arthur ↓ · Lucas ↑
Substitution 1
46'
I. Maza ↓ · A. Grimaldo ↑
Substitution 2
46'
C. M. Kofane
2–0
49'
Christian Kofane
Yellow Card
45+6'
64'
A. Kemlein ↓ · A. Schafer ↑
Substitution 1
64'
T. Skarke ↓ · O. Burke ↑
Substitution 2
64'
I. Ansah ↓ · Jeong Woo-Yeong ↑
Substitution 3
66'
Diogo Leite
Yellow Card
68'
Christopher Trimmel
Yellow Card
R. Andrich ↓ · E. Fernandez ↑
Substitution 3
69'
71'
T. Rothe ↓ · C. Trimmel ↑
Substitution 4
71'
J. Haberer ↓ · D. Leite ↑
Substitution 5
76'
Derrick Köhn
Yellow Card
J. Hofmann ↓ · C. M. Kofane ↑
Substitution 4
81'
J. Belocian ↓ · E. Poku ↑
Substitution 5
89'
Full-time · 2 – 0

Match recap

Bayer Leverkusen beat Union Berlin 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 74% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 92% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.79 to 0.77. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 20 shots to 10, 3 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: E. Poku (33'), C. M. Kofane (49').

Model audit for this match: of 7 graded markets, 4 landed and 3 missed, for a net -1.34 units (Brier 0.150).

Bet recap · markets settled

7 · 4 W · 3 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
AH Home 0 1.30 85% Cashed +0.30 Cashed
Home Win 1.72 61% Cashed +0.72 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.10 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.21 85% Cashed +0.21 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.84 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.80 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.43 65% Cashed +0.43 Cashed
Total · 7 markets @ 1u each 4 W · 3 L −1.34u −19% ROI