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Home › England › Premier League › Liverpool — Brentford

Predictions by Market: Liverpool vs Brentford

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Liverpool
Liverpool
Home · last 5 W L D L D
Kick-off
Sun 24 May · 15:00
1:1
Full-time
Brentford
Brentford
L W L D D Away · last 5
Anfield · Liverpool Referee D. England

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · LIV
60%
Best 1.91
Draw
22%
Best 4.26
Away Win · BRE
19%
Best 3.90
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 6.00
Fair odds
5.33
book 6.00 · +12.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 19% · EV +12.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (81%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 59.6%
Odds 1.88
Show model details
Implied probability 53.2%
Bet quality High
✓ Draw
Probability 21.9%
Odds 4.32
Show model details
Implied probability 23.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 18.5%
Odds 3.96
Show model details
Implied probability 25.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 61.9%
Odds 1.71
Show model details
Implied probability 58.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 39.8%
Odds 2.63
Show model details
Implied probability 38%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 38.1%
Odds 2.32
Show model details
Implied probability 43.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 60.2%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 18.8%
Odds 6.00
Show model details
Implied probability 16.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 5.6%
Odds 20.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94.5%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 81.2%
Odds 1.14
Show model details
Implied probability 87.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 39.9%
Odds 2.63
Show model details
Implied probability 38%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 60.1%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 59.6%
Odds 1.45
Show model details
Implied probability 69%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 18.5%
Odds 3.08
Show model details
Implied probability 32.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 40.4%
Odds 2.02
Show model details
Implied probability 49.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 81.5%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
LIV – BRE @ 6.00
+12.6%
Edge
Forecast →