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Prognosist
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⚽ Football 57 + Value 23 📈 Forecasts
Football England Premier League Liverpool — Brentford
Liverpool
Liverpool
Home · last 5 W W L D L
Kick-off
Sun 24 May · 15:00
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Brentford
Brentford
D L W L D Away · last 5
Anfield · Liverpool Referee D. England
Home Win · LIV
60%
Best 1.85
Draw
22%
Best 4.40
Away Win · BRE
19%
Best 4.04
Best bet
Home Win
@ 1.88
Fair odds
1.68
book 1.88 · +12.1% better than market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Best bet confidence
High
p 60% · EV +12.1%
AI preview · 90 sec read

AI sees no standout edge in this market — odds and probabilities line up.

Liverpool hold a clear quality edge at Anfield, backed by a solid home defensive record and a slightly better recent form. Their attacking strength should challenge Brentford's defense, which has been less consistent. Brentford's offensive threat is respectable but may struggle against Liverpool's compact block and pressing edge. The match hints at a moderately paced game with a decent chance of goals, though Liverpool's home momentum and tactical discipline likely tilt the balance in their favor.

  • Home defensive solidity vs away attack
  • Recent form favors Liverpool's momentum
  • Moderate pace suggests balanced chances

Market · Fair (consensus)

4 bookmakers consensus · 15-min refresh
Market Best bookmaker Fair (consensus) AI prob. Edge
Under 1.5 6.00 5.50 19% +12.6% Watch
Home Win 1.88 1.78 60% +12.1% Watch
Under 0.5 20.00 21.00 6% +11.0% Watch
Under 3.5 1.71 1.73 62% +5.8% Watch
Double Chance 1X 1.29 1.25 82% +5.2% Watch
BTTS No 2.63 2.62 40% +5.0% Watch
Under 2.5 2.63 2.64 40% +4.6% Watch
Over 0.5 1.02 1.01 94% −3.7% Pass
Draw 4.32 4.20 22% −5.4% Pass
Over 1.5 1.14 1.11 81% −7.4% Pass
BTTS Yes 1.53 1.46 60% −8.1% Pass
Over 2.5 1.50 1.44 60% −9.7% Pass
Over 3.5 2.32 2.20 38% −11.6% Pass
Double Chance X2 2.02 1.98 40% −18.5% Pass
Away Win 3.96 3.90 18% −26.9% Pass
Under 1.5
book 6.00 · fair 5.50 · 19%
+12.6%
Watch
Home Win
book 1.88 · fair 1.78 · 60%
+12.1%
Watch
Under 0.5
book 20.00 · fair 21.00 · 6%
+11.0%
Watch
Under 3.5
book 1.71 · fair 1.73 · 62%
+5.8%
Watch
Double Chance 1X
book 1.29 · fair 1.25 · 82%
+5.2%
Watch
BTTS No
book 2.63 · fair 2.62 · 40%
+5.0%
Watch
Under 2.5
book 2.63 · fair 2.64 · 40%
+4.6%
Watch
Over 0.5
book 1.02 · fair 1.01 · 94%
−3.7%
Pass
Draw
book 4.32 · fair 4.20 · 22%
−5.4%
Pass
Over 1.5
book 1.14 · fair 1.11 · 81%
−7.4%
Pass
BTTS Yes
book 1.53 · fair 1.46 · 60%
−8.1%
Pass
Over 2.5
book 1.50 · fair 1.44 · 60%
−9.7%
Pass
Over 3.5
book 2.32 · fair 2.20 · 38%
−11.6%
Pass
Double Chance X2
book 2.02 · fair 1.98 · 40%
−18.5%
Pass
Away Win
book 3.96 · fair 3.90 · 18%
−26.9%
Pass
Best bookmaker — highest offer across all bookmakers. Fair (consensus) — median of all bookmakers with the bookmaker margin removed. AI prob. — AI's estimated probability of the outcome. Edge — how much the best bookmaker beats the AI-implied price (positive = value). ★ Top pick — highest-EV value bet; Watch — positive edge below the value threshold; Pass — no edge.

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
1.68
Goals Scored
1.46
1.41
Goals Conceded
1.38
1.51
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
4.49
Shots on Target
3.92
5.89
Corners
4.86
59.22
Possession (%)
47.73
108.19
Efficiency index
98.64
104.84
Adjusted index
92.40
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
55
OFF · home
95
70
DEF · home
50
70
OFF · away
45
90
DEF · away
60
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

📈 Odds movement · 1X2

72 hours · 4 bookmakers
Home Win Draw Away Win

🎯 Scenario insights

Liverpool wins when scoring first
75%
Brentford wins when scoring first
50%
Liverpool BTTS rate · last 10
60%
Brentford BTTS rate · last 10
50%
Liverpool Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
Brentford Over 2.5 · last 10
70%
Liverpool comeback rate · last 10
0%
Brentford comeback rate · last 10
0%

🔥 Goal timing

Liverpool · last 10 at home

0–15 11%
16–30 11%
31–45 53%
46–60 0%
61–75 16%
76–90 11%

Brentford · last 10 away

0–15 13%
16–30 7%
31–45 27%
46–60 13%
61–75 7%
76–90 33%
First-half-heavy — over half the goals before the break.

Top scorers

H. Ekitike
LIV · Attacker
11 G · 0.55 g/90
Thiago
BRE · Attacker
22 G · 0.62 g/90