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Home › Belgium › Jupiler Pro League › St. Truiden — Charleroi

St. Truiden vs Charleroi 0:2: Match Review & Stats

Belgium   /   Jupiler Pro League Value pick inside
St. Truiden
St. Truiden
Home · last 5 W L D L W
Kick-off
Sat 31 Jan · 19:45
0:2
Full-time
Charleroi
Charleroi
W W L D W Away · last 5
Referee Bert Verbeke, Netherlands
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 53% · book 2.18 ✗
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 46% · book 2.23 ✓
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 50% · book 2.02 ✓
Total goals
2
0 · 2
xG (open play)
1.02 – 0.82
Δ +0.20
Possession
48% – 52%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance 1X at 1.36 — +7.6% better than the market.

St. Truiden arrives with strong home momentum, boasting a flawless recent run and a clear quality edge over Charleroi. Their offensive threat matches well against Charleroi's defense, suggesting they can break through. Meanwhile, Charleroi's slightly less potent attack faces a tough St. Truiden defense, hinting at a compact home block. The pace should be balanced, with moderate goal expectations given the odds.

  • Home form and quality advantage
  • Offense vs defense tactical matchup
  • Moderate tempo with goal potential

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X @ 1.36 ✗ Lost
AI 79% Implied 74% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

TRU 0 – 2 CHA
48%
Possession (%)
52%
1.02
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.82
13
Total Shots
15
2
Shots on Target
5
7
Shots off Target
6
8
Shots Inside Box
8
6
Corner Kicks
6
1
Offsides
1
6
Fouls
16
81%
Pass Accuracy (%)
85%
2
Yellow Cards
3
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match recap

Charleroi won 2–0 away at St. Truiden. At half-time it was 0–0.

For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.05 units (Brier 0.246).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 2.18 — 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.23 — 46% Cashed +1.23 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.02 — 50% Cashed +1.02 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.88 — 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.70 — 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.78 — 47% Cashed +0.78 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.62 — 21% Cashed +1.62 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.36 — 79% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.10 — 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.53 — 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.10 — 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.39 — 71% Cashed +0.39 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.06 — 92% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.29 — 75% Cashed +0.29 Cashed
Under 0.5 12.00 — 8% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.55 — 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.56 — 21% Cashed +2.56 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −1.05u −6% ROI
Value pick of the night · Double Chance 1X
TRU – CHA @ 1.36
+7.6%
Edge
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