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Home › Belgium › Jupiler Pro League › KV Mechelen — St. Truiden

Prediction: KV Mechelen vs St. Truiden, October 11

Belgium   /   Jupiler Pro League Value pick inside
KV Mechelen
KV Mechelen
Home · last 5 L D L L D
Kick-off
Sun 11 Oct · 17:15
—:—
Pre-match · scheduled
St. Truiden
St. Truiden
W L W L L Away · last 5
Referee B. Verbeke

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · MEC
22%
Best 3.22
Draw
24%
Best 3.72
Away Win · TRU
54%
Best 2.15

Model verdict

Model leans toward both teams to score — 56% probability.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 54% St. Truiden win
Over/Under 2.5 54% Over 2.5
BTTS 56% Yes
Double Chance 78% X2
  • 1X2 St. Truiden win 54%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 54%
  • BTTS Yes 56%
  • Double Chance X2 78%
Open betting analysis

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
KV Mechelen
W/D/L 0-2-3
Goals (for / against) 2 / 9
Avg goals / match 2.2
Scored in 1/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 1/5
Over 2.5 2/5
Home (W-D-L) 0-0-2
Away (W-D-L) 0-2-1
xG (for / against) 1.17 / 1.81
St. Truiden
W/D/L 2-0-3
Goals (for / against) 8 / 8
Avg goals / match 3.2
Scored in 2/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 1/5
Over 2.5 3/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-0-2
Away (W-D-L) 1-0-1
xG (for / against) 3.38 / 0.77

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
0.71
Goals Scored
1.71
2
Goals Conceded
1.71
0.78
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
3.14
Shots on Target
4.29
5
Corners
5
49
Possession (%)
54.71
84.09
Efficiency index
100.71
63.51
Adjusted index
110.74
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
11
OFF · home
39
6
DEF · home
44
28
OFF · away
78
61
DEF · away
28
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

Scenario insights

①
KV Mechelen wins when scoring first
—
①
St. Truiden wins when scoring first
—
⚽
KV Mechelen BTTS rate · last 10
40%
⚽
St. Truiden BTTS rate · last 10
40%
↑
KV Mechelen Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
↑
St. Truiden Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
↩
KV Mechelen comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
St. Truiden comeback rate · last 10
0%

Goal timing

KV Mechelen · last 4 at home

0–15 17%
16–30 33%
31–45 0%
46–60 17%
61–75 0%
76–90 33%

St. Truiden · last 4 away

0–15 0%
16–30 25%
31–45 25%
46–60 0%
61–75 25%
76–90 25%
Balanced — goals spread evenly across the match.

Top scorers

M. van Brederode
MEC · Midfielder
3 G · 0.50 g/90
S. Baždar
TRU · Attacker
4 G · 1.10 g/90
R. Merlen
TRU · Midfielder
3 G · 0.49 g/90