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Home › England › Premier League › Tottenham — Leeds

Predictions by Market: Tottenham vs Leeds

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Tottenham
Tottenham
Home · last 5 W W D L W
Kick-off
Mon 11 May · 19:00
1:1
Full-time
Leeds
Leeds
D W D W L Away · last 5
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium · London Referee J. Gillett

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · TOT
46%
Best 1.84
Draw
23%
Best 4.04
Away Win · LEE
31%
Best 4.50
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 4.33
Fair odds
3.81
book 4.33 · +13.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 26% · EV +13.7%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (74%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 45.5%
Odds 1.86
Show model details
Implied probability 53.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 31.1%
Odds 4.22
Show model details
Implied probability 23.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 23.4%
Odds 4.16
Show model details
Implied probability 24%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 50.8%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 49.2%
Odds 1.81
Show model details
Implied probability 55.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 26.3%
Odds 4.33
Show model details
Implied probability 23.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 72.1%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 27.9%
Odds 2.85
Show model details
Implied probability 35.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 8%
Odds 13.90
Show model details
Implied probability 7.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 73.7%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 48.3%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 51.7%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 31.1%
Odds 3.24
Show model details
Implied probability 30.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 45.5%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 54.5%
Odds 2.05
Show model details
Implied probability 48.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 68.9%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
TOT – LEE @ 4.33
+13.7%
Edge
Forecast →