P
Prognosist
P
⚽ Football 57 + Value 23 📈 Forecasts
Football England Premier League Tottenham — Leeds

Match Tottenham vs Leeds May 11, 2026

Tottenham
Tottenham
Home · last 5 W W D L W
Kick-off
Mon 11 May · 19:00
1:1
Full-time
Leeds
Leeds
D W D W L Away · last 5
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium · London Referee J. Gillett
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 55% · book 2.05
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 51% · book 2.15
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 48% · book 2.15
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
1.32 – 1.26
Δ +0.06
Possession
57% – 43%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Tottenham hosts Leeds in a clash where the visitors hold a slight quality edge and better recent form, suggesting they arrive with momentum. Tottenham’s defensive solidity contrasts with Leeds’ sharper attack, setting up an intriguing tactical battle. The home side’s moderate home edge is tempered by Leeds’ ability to press and create chances, hinting at a competitive, possibly tight game.

  • Leeds’ attacking threat challenges Tottenham’s disciplined defense
  • Home crowd support may boost Tottenham’s resilience
  • Recent form favors Leeds, but Tottenham’s home tactics could stifle them

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

TOT 4-2-3-1 · LEE 4-3-3
Subs used · TOT
81' Bergvall ↑ · Bentancur
85' Maddison ↑ · Tel
85' Spence ↑ · Udogie
Subs used · LEE
56' Bornauw ↑ · Struijk
63' Nmecha ↑ · Aaronson
63' Gnonto ↑ · James
90+3' Longstaff ↑ · Tanaka

📊 Statistics

TOT 11 LEE
57%
Possession (%)
43%
1.32
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.26
16
Total Shots
11
3
Shots on Target
4
7
Shots off Target
6
13
Shots Inside Box
6
14
Corner Kicks
2
1
Offsides
3
12
Fouls
7
80%
Pass Accuracy (%)
72%
3
Yellow Cards
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match events

14 · 1 – 1
K. Danso
Yellow Card
41'
Half-time · 0 – 0
M. Tel
1–0
50'
56'
S. Bornauw ↓ · P. Struijk ↑
Substitution 1
63'
L. Nmecha ↓ · B. Aaronson ↑
Substitution 2
63'
W. Gnonto ↓ · D. James ↑
Substitution 3
J. Palhinha
Yellow Card
66'
74'
D. Calvert-Lewin (P)
Penalty · 1–1
79'
J. Rodon
Yellow Card
L. Bergvall ↓ · R. Bentancur ↑
Substitution 1
81'
P. Porro
Yellow Card
82'
J. Maddison ↓ · M. Tel ↑
Substitution 2
85'
D. Spence ↓ · D. Udogie ↑
Substitution 3
85'
90+3'
S. Longstaff ↓ · A. Tanaka ↑
Substitution 4
R. De Zerbi
Yellow Card
90+5'
Full-time · 1 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 2.05 2.00 55% Cashed +1.05 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.15 2.00 51% Cashed +1.15 Cashed
BTTS No 2.15 2.06 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.81 1.80 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.70 1.74 52% Cashed +0.70 Cashed
Home Win 1.86 1.80 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 4.22 4.39 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.33 4.00 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.44 1.36 72% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.27 1.21 69% Cashed +0.27 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.85 3.00 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 13.90 12.05 8% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 3.24 3.26 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.42 1.34 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 4.16 3.85 23% Cashed +3.16 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.04 1.02 92% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.22 1.24 74% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −1.97u −12% ROI