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Home England Premier League Liverpool — Chelsea

Predictions Liverpool vs Chelsea May 9, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Liverpool
Liverpool
Home · last 5 W L D L D
Kick-off
Sat 09 May · 11:30
1:1
Full-time
Chelsea
Chelsea
L L D W L Away · last 5
Anfield · Liverpool Referee C. Pawson
Home Win · LIV
59%
Best 2.00
Draw
23%
Best 3.90
Away Win · CHE
18%
Best 3.88
Value pick
Home Win
@ 1.94
Fair odds
1.69
book 1.94 · +14.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 59% · EV +14.6%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 59.1%
Odds 1.94
Show model details
Implied probability 51.6%
Bet quality High
Draw
Probability 22.7%
Odds 4.06
Show model details
Implied probability 24.6%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 18.2%
Odds 3.94
Show model details
Implied probability 25.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 3.5
Probability 55.8%
Odds 1.81
Show model details
Implied probability 55.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 34.5%
Odds 2.80
Show model details
Implied probability 35.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 44.2%
Odds 2.17
Show model details
Implied probability 46.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 65.5%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 95.8%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 84.5%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 15.5%
Odds 6.00
Show model details
Implied probability 16.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 4.2%
Odds 21.00
Show model details
Implied probability 4.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 35.4%
Odds 2.88
Show model details
Implied probability 34.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 64.6%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 59.1%
Odds 1.47
Show model details
Implied probability 68%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 18.2%
Odds 2.99
Show model details
Implied probability 33.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 40.9%
Odds 1.96
Show model details
Implied probability 51%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 81.8%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.