P
Prognosist
P
⚽ Football 57 + Value 23 📈 Forecasts
Football England Premier League Chelsea — Nottingham Forest
Chelsea
Chelsea
Home · last 5 L L L D W
Kick-off
Mon 04 May · 14:00
1:3
Full-time
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
W W W D L Away · last 5
Stamford Bridge · London Referee A. Taylor
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 62% · book 1.75
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 46% · book 2.23
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 47% · book 2.15
Total goals
4
1 · 3
xG (open play)
1.93 – 2.07
Δ −0.14
Possession
68% – 32%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Chelsea face a tough test at Stamford Bridge despite their clear quality edge. Their recent poor form contrasts sharply with Nottingham Forest's impressive unbeaten streak, suggesting a clash of momentum. Chelsea's defensive solidity may be challenged by Forest's confident attack, but home advantage and Chelsea's higher overall strength hint at a narrow home edge.

  • Home crowd support could lift Chelsea's pressing intensity.
  • Forest's recent form signals growing confidence and resilience.
  • Match likely to feature tactical adjustments and a moderate pace given cautious approaches.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

CHE 4-2-3-1 · NOT 4-4-2
Subs used · CHE
45+9' Delap ↑ · Derry
46' Colwill ↑ · Adarabioyo
58' Santos ↑ · Lavia
66' Jorgensen ↑ · Sanchez
Subs used · NOT
45+5' Williams ↑ · Abbott
46' Milenkovic ↑ · Cunha
46' Anderson ↑ · Dominguez
46' Gibbs-White ↑ · Jesus
66' Wood ↑ · Gibbs-White
80' Hutchinson ↑ · Bakwa

📊 Statistics

CHE 13 NOT
68%
Possession (%)
32%
1.93
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.07
21
Total Shots
6
5
Shots on Target
4
8
Shots off Target
1
12
Shots Inside Box
6
10
Corner Kicks
1
1
Offsides
2
12
Fouls
10
91%
Pass Accuracy (%)
80%
3
Yellow Cards
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

19 · 1 – 3
2'
T. Awoniyi
Assist · D. Bakwa · 0–1
10'
Morato
Yellow Card
M. Gusto
Yellow Card
14'
15'
Igor Jesus (P)
Penalty · 0–2
Half-time · 0 – 2
L. Colwill ↓ · T. Adarabioyo ↑
Substitution 2
46'
46'
N. Milenkovic ↓ · Cunha ↑
Substitution 2
46'
E. Anderson ↓ · N. Dominguez ↑
Substitution 3
46'
M. Gibbs-White ↓ · Igor Jesus ↑
Substitution 4
45+5'
N. Williams ↓ · Z. Abbott ↑
Substitution 1
52'
T. Awoniyi
Assist · M. Gibbs-White · 0–3
L. Delap ↓ · J. Derry ↑
Substitution 1
45+9'
C. Palmer (P)
Penalty · Assist · C. Palmer · 1–3
45+10'
Andrey Santos ↓ · R. Lavia ↑
Substitution 3
58'
66'
C. Wood ↓ · M. Gibbs-White ↑
Substitution 5
F. Jorgensen ↓ · R. Sanchez ↑
Substitution 4
66'
M. Caicedo
Yellow Card
78'
L. Delap
Yellow Card
78'
80'
O. Hutchinson ↓ · D. Bakwa ↑
Substitution 6
Joao Pedro
Assist · M. Cucurella · 2–3
90+3'
Full-time · 1 – 3

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 1.75 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.23 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.15 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.76 54% Cashed +0.76 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.67 53% Cashed +0.67 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.75 32% Cashed +1.75 Cashed
Double Chance X2 2.20 38% Cashed +1.20 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.21 86% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.45 68% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.30 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.50 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 14.10 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.04 93% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Draw 4.12 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.22 77% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
Away Win 5.00 15% Cashed +4.00 Cashed
AH Away 0 3.45 15% Cashed +2.45 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L +2.09u +12% ROI