Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor 5:0 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 1.92 — +14.1% better than the market.

Alanyaspor holds a slight quality edge and a moderate home advantage, supported by a compact defense that has been tough to break down. Their recent form shows signs of stabilization, while Kocaelispor’s attacking threat is somewhat limited against Alanyaspor’s disciplined backline. Expect a cautious tempo with a pressing edge from the hosts aiming to control the game.

Home side’s defensive solidity vs away’s modest offense
Close recent form but home momentum favors Alanyaspor
Likely a tactical battle with limited goal-scoring chances

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 1.92 ✓ Cashed

AI 59% Implied 52% +0.92u

+92%

ROI on stake

Lineups

ALA 3-4-2-1 · KOC 4-1-4-1

ALA · 3-4-2-1 4-1-4-1 · KOC

9 Mounié

Statistics

ALA 5 – 0 KOC

40%

Possession (%)

60%

0.69

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.21

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

78%

Pass Accuracy (%)

84%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Alanyaspor beat Kocaelispor 5–0 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 60% of the ball. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 5 from 0.69 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.02 units (Brier 0.221).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	1.92	—	59%	Cashed	+0.92	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.68	—	66%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.17	—	53%	Cashed	+1.17	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.82	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.07	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.33	—	35%	Cashed	+1.33	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.05	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.29	—	80%	Cashed	+0.29	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.44	—	61%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.50	—	53%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
Under 0.5	7.80	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.25	—	83%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.10	—	86%	Cashed	+0.10	Cashed
Draw	3.37	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.83	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.92	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	4.23	—	17%	Cashed	+3.23	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.02u	−6% ROI

Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor 5:0: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled