Beşiktaş vs Kocaelispor 2:1: Match Review & Stats
Kick-off
Sun 11 Oct · 16:00
2:1
Full-time
Referee Abdullah Bugra Taskinsoy, Türkiye
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 46% · book 2.40
✗
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 55% · book 1.75
✗
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 45% · book 2.03
✓
xG (open play)
2.24 – 1.51
Δ +0.73
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed
Model verdict
Post-match · 90 sec read
AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.40 — +9.3% better than the market.
P
Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 2.40
✗ Lost
AI 46%
Implied 42%
−1.00u
⛀ Lineups
BES 4-1-4-1 · KOC 4-3-3
📊 Statistics
BES 2
– 1 KOC
2.24
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
1.51
86%
Pass Accuracy (%)
79%
Match recap
Beşiktaş beat Kocaelispor 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 2–1.
In possession, the hosts ran the game with 58% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.24 to 1.51. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 16 shots to 11, 6 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 7 to 4. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.
Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -3.50 units (Brier 0.124).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
11 · 5 W · 6 L
| Market |
Odds |
Closed |
AI |
Result |
P/L · 1u |
|
| Under 2.5 |
2.40 |
— |
46% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| BTTS No |
1.75 |
— |
55% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| BTTS Yes |
2.03 |
— |
45% |
Cashed |
+1.03 |
Cashed
|
| Over 2.5 |
1.63 |
— |
54% |
Cashed |
+0.63 |
Cashed
|
| Over 3.5 |
2.38 |
— |
33% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 3.5 |
1.53 |
— |
67% |
Cashed |
+0.53 |
Cashed
|
| Double Chance 1X |
1.05 |
— |
94% |
Cashed |
+0.05 |
Cashed
|
| Home Win |
1.26 |
— |
78% |
Cashed |
+0.26 |
Cashed
|
| Draw |
6.45 |
— |
16% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Double Chance X2 |
4.06 |
— |
22% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Away Win |
12.00 |
— |
6% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Total · 11 markets @ 1u each |
— |
— |
— |
5 W · 6 L |
−3.50u |
−32% ROI |
